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Panathinaikos vs Aris - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Super League Olympic Stadium of Athens, Athens
Sun, Dec 6, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Panathinaikos host Aris in the Super League. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Panathinaikos have averaged 1.94 scored and 0.91 conceded recently, against Aris's 1.5 scored and 1.37 conceded. Past meetings favor Panathinaikos slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 28, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.88 vs 0.88, favoring Panathinaikos. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Panathinaikos
15%
Draws
32%
Aris
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Panathinaikos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Panathinaikos carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Panathinaikos taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Panathinaikos Clean Sheet 20%
Aris Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Panathinaikos Aris
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 23 14
Draws 6 9
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 1.94 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2026 Greek Cup
Panathinaikos vs Aris
2:1
Mar 1, 2026 Super League
Panathinaikos vs Aris
3:1
Jan 14, 2026 Greek Cup
Panathinaikos vs Aris
3:0
Oct 19, 2025 Super League
Aris vs Panathinaikos
1:1
Feb 9, 2025 Super League
Aris vs Panathinaikos
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Panathinaikos 85 / 100
Aris 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Panathinaikos Aris

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Panathinaikos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Panathinaikos scored in 85% of their last 34 games.

Panathinaikos went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Aris let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Panathinaikos VS Aris
2.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Panathinaikos

(Home)
08 Nov
Iraklis FC
1 : 2
Panathinaikos
05 Nov
Panathinaikos
2 : 1
CSKA Sofia
01 Nov
Panathinaikos
2 : 0
AEK
28 Oct
Panathinaikos
2 : 1
Aris
25 Oct
Volos
0 : 1
Panathinaikos
Page 1 of 7

Aris

(Away)
07 Nov
Aris
3 : 0
Panetolikos
01 Nov
Levadiakos
3 : 0
Aris
28 Oct
Panathinaikos
2 : 1
Aris
25 Oct
Aris
3 : 1
Atromitos
18 Oct
Kifisia
1 : 2
Aris
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panathinaikos 10 9 0 1 22:5 27
2 Olympiacos Piraeus 10 7 2 1 16:5 23
3 AEK 9 6 2 1 23:6 20
4 PAOK 10 6 1 3 19:13 19
5 Aris 10 6 1 3 16:17 19
6 OFI Crete 10 5 2 3 14:12 17
7 Kifisia 10 4 2 4 15:15 14
8 Kalamata 10 3 3 4 15:19 12
9 Iraklis FC 10 2 4 4 11:14 10
10 Panetolikos 10 3 0 7 8:20 9
11 Asteras Tripolis 10 1 4 5 9:18 7
12 Atromitos 9 1 3 5 9:12 6
13 Levadiakos 10 1 3 6 4:13 6
14 Volos 10 0 3 7 7:19 0
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Promotion - Super League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Super League (Relegation Group)