Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Panathinaikos vs AS Roma

Europe Europe

Europa League 2025/2026 Olympic Stadium of Athens
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Siopis M.
15'
Mancini G.
41'
Ghilardi D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Europa League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Panathinaikos
33%
Draws
40%
AS Roma
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: AS Roma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AS Roma lately — more wins on the board than Panathinaikos.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on AS Roma taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Panathinaikos here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Panathinaikos Clean Sheet 14%
AS Roma Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Panathinaikos AS Roma
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 16
Draws 9 6
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.25 2.25
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2026 Europa League
Panathinaikos vs AS Roma
1:1
Feb 25, 2010 Europa League
AS Roma vs Panathinaikos
2:3
Feb 18, 2010 Europa League
Panathinaikos vs AS Roma
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Panathinaikos Compare

Top Goalscorer Taborda V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

AS Roma Compare

Top Goalscorer Ziolkowski J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Panathinaikos 27 / 100
AS Roma 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Panathinaikos AS Roma

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ROM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Panathinaikos scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Panathinaikos has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: AS Roma conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Panathinaikos VS AS Roma
1.25 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lyon870118:521
2Aston Villa870114:621
3Midtjylland861118:819
4Betis852113:717
5FC Porto852113:717
6Braga852111:517
7Freiburg852110:417
8AS Roma851213:616
9Genk851211:716
10Bologna843114:715
11VfB Stuttgart850315:915
12Ferencvaros843112:1115
13Nottingham842215:714
14Plzen83508:314
15Crvena zvezda84227:614
16Celta Vigo841315:1113
17PAOK833217:1412
18Lille840412:912
19Fenerbahce833210:712
20Panathinaikos833211:912
21Celtic832313:1511
22Ludogorets831412:1510
23Din. Zagreb831412:1610
24Brann82339:119
25Young Boys830510:169
26Sturm Graz82155:117
27FCSB82159:167
28G.A. Eagles82156:147
29Feyenoord820611:156
30Basel82069:136
31Salzburg820610:156
32Rangers81165:144
33Nice81077:153
34Utrecht80175:151
35Malmo FF80174:151
36Maccabi Tel Aviv80172:221