Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Panathinaikos vs AS Roma

Europe Europe

Europa League 2025/2026 Olympic Stadium of Athens, Athens
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Siopis M.
15'
Mancini G.
41'
Ghilardi D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Europa League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Panathinaikos
20%
Draws
34%
AS Roma
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Panathinaikos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Panathinaikos lately — more wins on the board than AS Roma.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Panathinaikos taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Panathinaikos here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Panathinaikos Clean Sheet 14%
AS Roma Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Panathinaikos AS Roma
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 18 14
Draws 8 9
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 1.77 2.07
Goals Conceded 1 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2026 Europa League
Panathinaikos vs AS Roma
1:1
Feb 25, 2010 Europa League
AS Roma vs Panathinaikos
2:3
Feb 18, 2010 Europa League
Panathinaikos vs AS Roma
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Panathinaikos Compare

Top Goalscorer Taborda V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

AS Roma Compare

Top Goalscorer Ziolkowski J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Panathinaikos 41 / 100
AS Roma 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Panathinaikos AS Roma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Panathinaikos scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Panathinaikos has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: AS Roma conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Panathinaikos VS AS Roma
2 Goals Scored 2.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Panathinaikos

(Home)
20 Sept
Kalamata
0 : 1
Panathinaikos
16 Sept
Kifisia
0 : 2
Panathinaikos
13 Sept
Panathinaikos
3 : 0
Panetolikos
10 Sept
Panathinaikos
3 : 1
Kifisia
06 Sept
Panathinaikos
3 : 1
PAOK
Page 1 of 7

AS Roma

(Away)
19 Sept
AS Roma
2 : 2
Inter
14 Sept
Torino
0 : 2
AS Roma
10 Sept
Fenerbahce
1 : 1
AS Roma
05 Sept
AS Roma
2 : 1
Atalanta
31 Aug
Lecce
0 : 4
AS Roma
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lyon 8 7 0 1 18:5 21
2 Aston Villa 8 7 0 1 14:6 21
3 Midtjylland 8 6 1 1 18:8 19
4 Betis 8 5 2 1 13:7 17
5 FC Porto 8 5 2 1 13:7 17
6 Braga 8 5 2 1 11:5 17
7 Freiburg 8 5 2 1 10:4 17
8 AS Roma 8 5 1 2 13:6 16
9 Genk 8 5 1 2 11:7 16
10 Bologna 8 4 3 1 14:7 15
11 VfB Stuttgart 8 5 0 3 15:9 15
12 Ferencvaros 8 4 3 1 12:11 15
13 Nottingham 8 4 2 2 15:7 14
14 Plzen 8 3 5 0 8:3 14
15 Crvena zvezda 8 4 2 2 7:6 14
16 Celta Vigo 8 4 1 3 15:11 13
17 PAOK 8 3 3 2 17:14 12
18 Lille 8 4 0 4 12:9 12
19 Fenerbahce 8 3 3 2 10:7 12
20 Panathinaikos 8 3 3 2 11:9 12
21 Celtic 8 3 2 3 13:15 11
22 Ludogorets 8 3 1 4 12:15 10
23 Din. Zagreb 8 3 1 4 12:16 10
24 Brann 8 2 3 3 9:11 9
25 Young Boys 8 3 0 5 10:16 9
26 Sturm Graz 8 2 1 5 5:11 7
27 FCSB 8 2 1 5 9:16 7
28 G.A. Eagles 8 2 1 5 6:14 7
29 Feyenoord 8 2 0 6 11:15 6
30 Basel 8 2 0 6 9:13 6
31 Salzburg 8 2 0 6 10:15 6
32 Rangers 8 1 1 6 5:14 4
33 Nice 8 1 0 7 7:15 3
34 Utrecht 8 0 1 7 5:15 1
35 Malmo FF 8 0 1 7 4:15 1
36 Maccabi Tel Aviv 8 0 1 7 2:22 1
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)