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Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Conference League Olympic Stadium of Athens, Athens
Thu, Nov 5, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Panathinaikos host CSKA Sofia in the Conference League. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. CSKA Sofia have shipped 1.22 goals a game lately, while Panathinaikos have conceded 0.96 and scored 1.93. Past meetings favor CSKA Sofia slightly — 0-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 27, 1972, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.81 vs 1.50, favoring CSKA Sofia. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Panathinaikos
20%
Draws
32%
CSKA Sofia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Panathinaikos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • CSKA Sofia's 2 goals per match outpaces what Panathinaikos have produced (1.93).
  • Win probability leans Panathinaikos's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Panathinaikos Clean Sheet 16%
CSKA Sofia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Panathinaikos CSKA Sofia
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 17 17
Draws 6 5
Losses 5 5
Goals Scored 1.93 2
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 27, 1972 Champions League
Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia
0:2
Sep 13, 1972 Champions League
CSKA Sofia vs Panathinaikos
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Panathinaikos 75 / 100
CSKA Sofia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Panathinaikos CSKA Sofia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Panathinaikos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Panathinaikos scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

CSKA Sofia has conceded goals in 67% of their last 27 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Panathinaikos stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Panathinaikos VS CSKA Sofia
2.38 Goals Scored 2.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Panathinaikos

(Home)
22 Oct
Kairat Almaty
1 : 5
Panathinaikos
18 Oct
Panathinaikos
5 : 1
Asteras Tripolis
15 Oct
Panathinaikos
2 : 1
Borac Banja Luka
11 Oct
Olympiacos Piraeus
1 : 0
Panathinaikos
20 Sept
Kalamata
0 : 1
Panathinaikos
Page 1 of 6

CSKA Sofia

(Away)
22 Oct
Nordsjaelland
2 : 2
CSKA Sofia
18 Oct
Nesebar
0 : 2
CSKA Sofia
15 Oct
CSKA Sofia
1 : 2
Monaco
11 Oct
CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 : 3
CSKA Sofia
20 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 1
CSKA Sofia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panathinaikos 2 2 0 0 7:2 6
2 Lugano 2 2 0 0 8:4 6
3 Brann 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
4 Trabzonspor 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
5 Twente 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
6 Monaco 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
7 St. Truiden 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
8 Hajduk Split 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
9 Brighton 2 1 1 0 4:0 4
10 FC Copenhagen 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
11 Univ. Craiova 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
12 Mjallby 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
13 Ajax 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
14 Borac Banja Luka 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
15 Atalanta 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
16 Braga 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
17 Gent 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
18 Freiburg 2 1 0 1 3:5 3
19 Nordsjaelland 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
20 KF Egnatia 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
21 Riga FC 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
22 Crvena zvezda 2 0 1 1 4:5 1
23 CSKA Sofia 2 0 1 1 3:4 1
24 Jablonec 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
25 Midtjylland 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
26 Aarhus 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
27 Pafos 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
28 Hearts 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
29 Iberia 1999 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
30 Getafe 2 0 1 1 3:6 1
31 Kairat Almaty 2 0 1 1 2:6 1
32 Thun 2 0 0 2 0:2 0
33 Lincoln Red Imps 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
34 KuPS 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
35 Inter Escaldes 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
36 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 0 0 2 1:8 0
Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)