Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Panathinaikos vs PAOK

Greece Greece

Super League Olympic Stadium of Athens, Athens
Sat, Sep 5, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Panathinaikos host PAOK in the Super League. Little to choose between these two on current form. PAOK have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Panathinaikos have conceded 1.25 and scored 1.75. Head-to-head, Panathinaikos have won 0 to PAOK's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on May 17, 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.75, favoring PAOK. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Panathinaikos
33%
Draws
27%
PAOK
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Panathinaikos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Panathinaikos haven't matched PAOK's recent run of results.
  • Panathinaikos are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Panathinaikos Clean Sheet 12%
PAOK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Panathinaikos PAOK
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 14
Draws 9 8
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.75 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Super League
Panathinaikos vs PAOK
2:2
Apr 5, 2026 Super League
PAOK vs Panathinaikos
0:0
Feb 11, 2026 Greek Cup
PAOK vs Panathinaikos
2:0
Feb 4, 2026 Greek Cup
Panathinaikos vs PAOK
0:1
Dec 21, 2025 Super League
PAOK vs Panathinaikos
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Panathinaikos 38 / 100
PAOK 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Panathinaikos PAOK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Panathinaikos found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Solid form: Panathinaikos remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

PAOK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Panathinaikos VS PAOK
1.75 Goals Scored 2.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Panathinaikos

(Home)
23 Jul
Paks
1 : 2
Panathinaikos
15 Jul
Rapid Vienna
4 : 1
Panathinaikos
11 Jul
Panathinaikos
3 : 0
Grasshoppers
04 Jul
Ajax
1 : 3
Panathinaikos
01 Jul
Helmond Sport
0 : 4
Panathinaikos
Page 1 of 6

PAOK

(Away)
23 Jul
Dynamo Kyiv
2 : 3
PAOK
11 Jul
PAOK
2 : 3
Twente
07 Jul
PAOK
3 : 2
AEK Larnaca
04 Jul
PAOK
4 : 0
Westerlo
01 Jul
PAOK
4 : 1
SK Beveren
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kalamata00000:00
2Iraklis FC00000:00
3OFI Crete00000:00
4Panathinaikos00000:00
5AEK00000:00
6Olympiacos Piraeus00000:00
7Aris00000:00
8Asteras Tripolis00000:00
9PAOK00000:00
10Levadiakos00000:00
11Atromitos00000:00
12Panetolikos00000:00
13Kifisia00000:00
14Volos00000:00
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Promotion - Super League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Super League (Relegation Group)