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Panegialios FC vs Tilikratis Lefkada - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 6
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Panegialios FC host Tilikratis Lefkada in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 6. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Panegialios FC have averaged 1.71 scored and 0.56 conceded recently, against Tilikratis Lefkada's 1.31 scored and 0.81 conceded. Head-to-head, Panegialios FC have won 0 to Tilikratis Lefkada's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 6, 2022, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 0.63, favoring Panegialios FC. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Panegialios FC
30%
Draws
27%
Tilikratis Lefkada
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Panegialios FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Panegialios FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Panegialios FC a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Panegialios FC Clean Sheet 20%
Tilikratis Lefkada Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Panegialios FC Tilikratis Lefkada
Matches Played 34 36
Wins 23 16
Draws 9 11
Losses 2 9
Goals Scored 1.71 1.31
Goals Conceded 0.56 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2022 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Tilikratis Lefkada vs Panegialios FC
0:0
Dec 8, 2021 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Panegialios FC vs Tilikratis Lefkada
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Panegialios FC 40 / 100
Tilikratis Lefkada 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Panegialios FC Tilikratis Lefkada

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Panegialios FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Panegialios FC found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (34 games).

Solid form: Panegialios FC remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Tilikratis Lefkada let in goals in 56% of their last 36 matches.

Scoring Trends

Panegialios FC VS Tilikratis Lefkada
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Panegialios FC

(Home)
04 Oct
Aris Filiaton
1 : 2
Panegialios FC
27 Sept
Panegialios FC
2 : 1
Panachaiki
08 Apr
Panegialios FC
0 : 0
Zakynthos
05 Apr
Pelopas Kiatou
0 : 0
Panegialios FC
01 Apr
Panegialios FC
1 : 0
Pyrgos
Page 1 of 7

Tilikratis Lefkada

(Away)
04 Oct
Tilikratis Lefkada
0 : 1
Agios Matthaios
27 Sept
Lefkimmi
0 : 1
Tilikratis Lefkada
08 Apr
Tilikratis Lefkada
2 : 0
Aris Filiaton
05 Apr
Asteras Stavrou
2 : 2
Tilikratis Lefkada
01 Apr
Tilikratis Lefkada
0 : 1
Lamia
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atromitos Patras 2 2 0 0 12:0 6
2 Preveza 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
3 Panegialios FC 2 2 0 0 4:2 6
4 Plataria 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
5 Panachaiki 2 1 0 1 6:2 3
6 Aris Filiaton 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
7 Tilikratis Lefkada 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
8 Agios Matthaios 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
9 Pallixouriakos 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
10 Lefkimmi 2 0 0 2 0:6 0
11 Panagriniakos 2 0 0 2 0:7 0
12 Levante 2 0 0 2 0:8 0
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 (Losers stage)