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Panetolikos vs Asteras Tripolis

Greece Greece

Super League 2025/2026 Panetolikos Stadium, Agrinio
Panetolikos Logo

Panetolikos

1 - 2
FT
Asteras Tripolis Logo

Asteras Tripolis

Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Sub
Esteban D. In: Satsias G.
Out: Esteban D.
12'
Grammenos D.
28' Event
Bartolo J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Asteras Tripolis in this Super League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Asteras Tripolis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Panetolikos
35%
Draws
53%
Asteras Tripolis
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Asteras Tripolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Asteras Tripolis have won more games recently than Panetolikos.
  • Win probability leans Asteras Tripolis's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Super League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Panetolikos Clean Sheet 19%
Asteras Tripolis Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Panetolikos Asteras Tripolis
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 8
Draws 8 11
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 0.8 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2026 Super League
Panetolikos vs Asteras Tripolis
1:2
Apr 22, 2026 Super League
Asteras Tripolis vs Panetolikos
2:1
Feb 14, 2026 Super League
Panetolikos vs Asteras Tripolis
3:1
Nov 22, 2025 Super League
Asteras Tripolis vs Panetolikos
1:1
Aug 17, 2025 Club Friendly
Panetolikos vs Asteras Tripolis
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Panetolikos Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Asteras Tripolis Compare

Top Goalscorer Bartolo J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Charalampoglou G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Panetolikos 28 / 100
Asteras Tripolis 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Panetolikos Asteras Tripolis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AST Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Asteras Tripolis conceded in 69% of 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Panetolikos scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Panetolikos remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Panetolikos VS Asteras Tripolis
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Panetolikos

(Home)
06 Aug
Levadiakos
1 : 0
Panetolikos
16 Jul
Omonia
2 : 1
Panetolikos
21 May
Panetolikos
1 : 2
Asteras Tripolis
17 May
Panserraikos
1 : 1
Panetolikos
12 May
Panetolikos
1 : 1
AEL Larissa
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Asteras Tripolis

(Away)
31 Jul
Den Haag
0 : 0
Asteras Tripolis
28 Jul
Sparta Rotterdam
1 : 1
Asteras Tripolis
21 May
Panetolikos
1 : 2
Asteras Tripolis
16 May
Asteras Tripolis
0 : 0
Kifisia
12 May
Asteras Tripolis
1 : 0
Panserraikos
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
9 Atromitos 36 12 10 14 49:42 46
10 Kifisia 36 9 14 13 40:51 41
11 Asteras Tripolis 36 8 12 16 36:49 36
12 Panetolikos 36 9 9 18 35:51 36
13 AEL Larissa 36 5 15 16 34:56 30
14 Panserraikos 36 7 8 21 25:73 29
Relegation - Super League 2 2026/2027 (Main)