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Panetolikos vs Kalamata - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Super League Panetolikos Stadium, Agrinio
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Stroungis S.
8'
Satsias G.
26' Event
Granath G.
Assist: Manrique C.

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Panetolikos and Kalamata finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Panetolikos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Panetolikos
30%
Draws
28%
Kalamata
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Panetolikos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Kalamata carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Panetolikos are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Panetolikos Clean Sheet 15%
Kalamata Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Panetolikos Kalamata
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 19
Draws 7 5
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 1.14 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.34 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Super League
Panetolikos vs Kalamata
2:0
Aug 19, 2026 Greek Cup
Kalamata vs Panetolikos
4:2
Aug 4, 2024 Club Friendly
Panetolikos vs Kalamata
0:0
Oct 19, 2022 Greek Cup
Kalamata vs Panetolikos
3:2
Mar 31, 2010 Football League
Kalamata vs Panetolikos
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Panetolikos Compare

Top Goalscorer Granath G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Soumah S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Kalamata Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Panetolikos 41 / 100
Kalamata 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Panetolikos Kalamata

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Panetolikos scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Panetolikos has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Kalamata let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Panetolikos VS Kalamata
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Panetolikos

(Home)
20 Sept
Panetolikos
1 : 3
PAOK
13 Sept
Panathinaikos
3 : 0
Panetolikos
06 Sept
Levadiakos
0 : 2
Panetolikos
29 Aug
Panetolikos
2 : 0
Kalamata
23 Aug
Panetolikos
3 : 1
Asteras Tripolis
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Kalamata

(Away)
20 Sept
Kalamata
0 : 1
Panathinaikos
17 Sept
Kalamata
1 : 1
AEL Larissa
13 Sept
Kalamata
3 : 1
Volos
06 Sept
Atromitos
1 : 1
Kalamata
01 Sept
Volos
2 : 2
Kalamata
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panathinaikos 5 5 0 0 12:2 15
2 PAOK 5 4 0 1 12:5 12
3 AEK 5 3 2 0 13:3 11
4 OFI Crete 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
5 Olympiacos Piraeus 5 3 1 1 4:2 10
6 Panetolikos 5 3 0 2 8:7 9
7 Aris 5 2 1 2 5:10 7
8 Iraklis FC 5 1 3 1 4:6 6
9 Kifisia 5 1 2 2 4:7 5
10 Kalamata 5 1 1 3 6:8 4
11 Atromitos 5 0 2 3 4:7 2
12 Asteras Tripolis 5 0 2 3 4:9 2
13 Levadiakos 5 0 1 4 0:9 1
14 Volos 5 0 2 3 4:9 -1
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Promotion - Super League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Super League (Relegation Group)