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Panetolikos vs PAOK Prediction & H2H Stats

Greece Greece

Super League Panetolikos Stadium, Agrinio
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Match Events

30'
Granath G.
33' Event
Ali T.
Assist: Jakic K.
39' Event
Ndiaye C.
Assist: Baba A.

AI Match Summary

PAOK in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored PAOK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Panetolikos
15%
Draws
45%
PAOK
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: PAOK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • PAOK have won more games recently than Panetolikos.
  • PAOK are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • PAOK have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Panetolikos Clean Sheet 11%
PAOK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Panetolikos PAOK
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 15
Draws 7 7
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.1 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Super League
Panetolikos vs PAOK
1:3
Jan 10, 2026 Super League
Panetolikos vs PAOK
0:3
Sep 20, 2025 Super League
PAOK vs Panetolikos
0:0
Dec 15, 2024 Super League
Panetolikos vs PAOK
0:1
Aug 25, 2024 Super League
PAOK vs Panetolikos
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Panetolikos Compare

Top Goalscorer Esteban D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

PAOK Compare

Top Goalscorer Ali T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ndiaye C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Panetolikos 27 / 100
PAOK 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Panetolikos PAOK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAOK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Panetolikos found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

PAOK let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Panetolikos has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Panetolikos VS PAOK
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Panetolikos

(Home)
20 Sept
Panetolikos
1 : 3
PAOK
13 Sept
Panathinaikos
3 : 0
Panetolikos
06 Sept
Levadiakos
0 : 2
Panetolikos
29 Aug
Panetolikos
2 : 0
Kalamata
23 Aug
Panetolikos
3 : 1
Asteras Tripolis
Page 1 of 6

PAOK

(Away)
20 Sept
Panetolikos
1 : 3
PAOK
16 Sept
Atromitos
0 : 1
PAOK
13 Sept
PAOK
2 : 0
Aris
06 Sept
Panathinaikos
3 : 1
PAOK
02 Sept
PAOK
0 : 0
OFI Crete
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panathinaikos 5 5 0 0 12:2 15
2 PAOK 5 4 0 1 12:5 12
3 AEK 5 3 2 0 13:3 11
4 OFI Crete 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
5 Olympiacos Piraeus 5 3 1 1 4:2 10
6 Panetolikos 5 3 0 2 8:7 9
7 Aris 5 2 1 2 5:10 7
8 Iraklis FC 5 1 3 1 4:6 6
9 Kifisia 5 1 2 2 4:7 5
10 Kalamata 5 1 1 3 6:8 4
11 Atromitos 5 0 2 3 4:7 2
12 Asteras Tripolis 5 0 2 3 4:9 2
13 Volos 5 0 2 3 4:9 2
14 Levadiakos 5 0 1 4 0:9 1
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Promotion - Super League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Super League (Relegation Group)