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Panionios vs Apollon Kalamaria - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Super League 2
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Match Events

2' Event
Miguel Tavares

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2 game between Panionios and Apollon Kalamaria finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Panionios.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Panionios
30%
Draws
23%
Apollon Kalamaria
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Panionios

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Apollon Kalamaria's 1.66 goals per match outpaces what Panionios have produced (1.55).
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Panionios taking it.
  • Regular Super League 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Panionios have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 20.8%
Panionios Clean Sheet 68%
Apollon Kalamaria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Panionios Apollon Kalamaria
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 19 19
Draws 4 5
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 1.55 1.66
Goals Conceded 0.45 0.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.51
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2026 Super League 2
Panionios vs Apollon Kalamaria
1:0
Oct 31, 2018 Greek Cup
Apollon Kalamaria vs Panionios
0:4
Oct 30, 2013 Greek Cup
Apollon Kalamaria vs Panionios
0:0
Sep 25, 2013 Greek Cup
Panionios vs Apollon Kalamaria
3:1
Jan 27, 2008 Super League
Panionios vs Apollon Kalamaria
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Panionios Compare

Top Goalscorer Miguel Tavares
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Apollon Kalamaria Compare

Avg xG / game 0.46
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Panionios 86 / 100
Apollon Kalamaria 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Panionios Apollon Kalamaria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Panionios Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Panionios scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Panionios remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Apollon Kalamaria's defensive record shows goals conceded in 41% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Panionios VS Apollon Kalamaria
2 Goals Scored 0.88
0.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Panionios

(Home)
04 Oct
Pyrgos
2 : 0
Panionios
27 Sept
Panionios
1 : 0
Zakynthos
19 Sept
Karditsa
0 : 0
Panionios
14 Sept
Panionios
1 : 0
Apollon Kalamaria
06 Sept
Panionios
2 : 0
Asteras Tripolis B
Page 1 of 6

Apollon Kalamaria

(Away)
05 Oct
Zakynthos
1 : 1
Apollon Kalamaria
27 Sept
Apollon Kalamaria
1 : 0
Karditsa
20 Sept
Asteras Tripolis B
1 : 0
Apollon Kalamaria
14 Sept
Panionios
1 : 0
Apollon Kalamaria
07 Sept
Ellas Syrou
2 : 2
Apollon Kalamaria
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marko 5 5 0 0 11:5 15
2 AEL Larissa 5 3 2 0 9:3 11
3 Panionios 5 3 1 1 4:2 10
4 Ellas Syrou 5 2 3 0 9:3 9
5 Athens Kallithea 4 3 0 1 7:4 9
6 Panthrakikos 5 2 2 1 5:3 8
7 Panserraikos 5 2 1 2 7:5 7
8 Asteras Tripolis B 5 2 0 3 3:5 6
9 Apollon Kalamaria 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
10 PAOK B 5 1 2 2 3:5 5
11 Pyrgos 5 1 2 2 2:5 5
12 Niki Volos 5 1 1 3 6:7 4
13 Olympiacos Piraeus B 4 1 1 2 6:10 4
14 Chrisoupolis 5 1 1 3 4:7 4
15 Zakynthos 5 0 2 3 3:8 2
16 Karditsa 5 0 2 3 1:7 2
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