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Panionios vs Kalamata

Greece Greece

Super League 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Kolovos D.
38' Event
Mendes Moreira A.

AI Match Summary

Kalamata in this Super League 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kalamata.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Panionios
35%
Draws
24%
Kalamata
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Panionios

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kalamata lately — more wins on the board than Panionios.
  • Panionios are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Panionios Clean Sheet 68%
Kalamata Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Panionios Kalamata
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 19 20
Draws 5 5
Losses 5 5
Goals Scored 1.66 1.77
Goals Conceded 0.45 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2026 Club Friendly
Panionios vs Kalamata
1:0
Mar 7, 2026 Super League 2
Panionios vs Kalamata
0:1
Feb 15, 2026 Super League 2
Kalamata vs Panionios
0:2
Jan 11, 2026 Super League 2
Kalamata vs Panionios
2:0
Oct 26, 2025 Super League 2
Panionios vs Kalamata
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Panionios Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Kalamata Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendes Moreira A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Panionios 68 / 100
Kalamata 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Panionios Kalamata

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Panionios Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Panionios scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Panionios went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Kalamata has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Panionios VS Kalamata
2.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Panionios

(Home)
19 Sept
Karditsa
0 : 0
Panionios
14 Sept
Panionios
1 : 0
Apollon Kalamaria
06 Sept
Panionios
2 : 0
Asteras Tripolis B
19 Aug
Niki Volos
1 : 0
Panionios
12 Aug
Panionios
1 : 0
Kalamata
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Kalamata

(Away)
20 Sept
Kalamata
0 : 1
Panathinaikos
17 Sept
Kalamata
1 : 1
AEL Larissa
13 Sept
Kalamata
3 : 1
Volos
06 Sept
Atromitos
1 : 1
Kalamata
01 Sept
Volos
2 : 2
Kalamata
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iraklis FC 6 5 1 0 9:1 38
2 Niki Volos 6 2 3 1 5:2 29
3 Karditsa 6 0 2 4 3:8 22
4 Asteras Tripolis B 6 1 2 3 4:10 21
Promotion - Super League (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kalamata 6 4 1 1 7:2 38
2 Panionios 6 2 1 3 7:5 29
3 Marko 6 2 3 1 6:4 25
4 Olympiacos Piraeus B 6 1 1 4 3:12 18
Promotion - Super League (Main)