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Panjsher vs Khosilot Parkhar

Tajikistan Tajikistan

Vysshaya Liga 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Song S.
43' Event
Mael A.

AI Match Summary

The Vysshaya Liga 2025 game between Panjsher and Khosilot Parkhar finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Panjsher
30%
Draws
39%
Khosilot Parkhar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Khosilot Parkhar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Khosilot Parkhar come out ahead of Panjsher on wins alone.
  • Khosilot Parkhar are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Panjsher Clean Sheet 21%
Khosilot Parkhar Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Panjsher Khosilot Parkhar
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 15
Draws 8 7
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 0.93 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 10, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Panjsher vs Khosilot Parkhar
1:1
Apr 27, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Khosilot Parkhar vs Panjsher
2:1
Feb 15, 2025 Tajikistan Cup
Khosilot Parkhar vs Panjsher
0:1
Oct 12, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Khosilot Parkhar vs Panjsher
4:1
May 17, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Panjsher vs Khosilot Parkhar
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Panjsher Compare

Top Goalscorer Mael A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Khosilot Parkhar Compare

Top Goalscorer Song S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Panjsher 29 / 100
Khosilot Parkhar 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Panjsher Khosilot Parkhar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Khosilot Parkhar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Panjsher found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Khosilot Parkhar has conceded goals in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Panjsher has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Panjsher VS Khosilot Parkhar
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Panjsher

(Home)
10 Nov
Panjsher
1 : 1
Khosilot Parkhar
05 Nov
Regar-TadAZ
1 : 2
Panjsher
24 Oct
Panjsher
2 : 2
Khujand
18 Oct
Eskhata
1 : 0
Panjsher
28 Sept
Panjsher
1 : 0
Istaravshan
Page 1 of 6

Khosilot Parkhar

(Away)
15 Sept
Khosilot Parkhar
2 : 0
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
05 Sept
Istiqlol Dushanbe
1 : 0
Khosilot Parkhar
30 Aug
Khosilot Parkhar
1 : 0
Regar-TadAZ
14 Aug
Sardor Tursunzoda
3 : 3
Khosilot Parkhar
02 Aug
Khosilot Parkhar
5 : 2
Istaravshan
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Istiqlol Dushanbe 22 15 5 2 58:18 50
2 Vakhsh 22 12 9 1 33:18 45
3 CSKA Pomir Dushanbe 22 10 7 5 38:23 37
4 Ravshan Kulob 22 8 11 3 26:20 35
5 Khujand 22 9 4 9 24:25 31
6 Regar-TadAZ 22 8 6 8 25:24 30
7 Eskhata 22 7 9 6 31:30 30
8 Barkchi Hisor 22 6 9 7 22:20 27
9 Khosilot Parkhar 22 6 6 10 27:38 24
10 Istaravshan 22 4 7 11 23:42 19
11 Hulbuk 22 2 7 13 15:39 13
12 Panjsher 22 2 6 14 16:41 12
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga 2025 (Relegation)