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Panjsher vs Regar-TadAZ

Tajikistan Tajikistan

Vysshaya Liga 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Baki-Akhunov P.
(Penalty)
86' Event
Babajanov N.
90' Event
Kalandarov B.

AI Match Summary

The Vysshaya Liga 2025 game between Panjsher and Regar-TadAZ finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Regar-TadAZ.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Panjsher
30%
Draws
39%
Regar-TadAZ
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Regar-TadAZ

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Panjsher haven't matched Regar-TadAZ's recent run of results.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Regar-TadAZ taking it.
  • Regular Vysshaya Liga 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Panjsher Clean Sheet 23%
Regar-TadAZ Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Panjsher Regar-TadAZ
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 17
Draws 8 7
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 0.93 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.53 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 5, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Regar-TadAZ vs Panjsher
1:2
May 30, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Panjsher vs Regar-TadAZ
1:2
Nov 27, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Panjsher vs Regar-TadAZ
1:0
May 26, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Regar-TadAZ vs Panjsher
1:0
Sep 18, 2019 Vysshaya Liga
Regar-TadAZ vs Panjsher
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Panjsher Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Regar-TadAZ Compare

Top Goalscorer Babajanov N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kalandarov B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Panjsher 24 / 100
Regar-TadAZ 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Panjsher Regar-TadAZ

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Regar-TadAZ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Panjsher's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Regar-TadAZ let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Panjsher went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Regar-TadAZ
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Panjsher

(Home)
10 Nov
Panjsher
1 : 1
Khosilot Parkhar
05 Nov
Regar-TadAZ
1 : 2
Panjsher
24 Oct
Panjsher
2 : 2
Khujand
18 Oct
Eskhata
1 : 0
Panjsher
28 Sept
Panjsher
1 : 0
Istaravshan
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Regar-TadAZ

(Away)
17 Sept
Vakhsh
0 : 1
Regar-TadAZ
08 Sept
Regar-TadAZ
0 : 0
Khujand
30 Aug
Khosilot Parkhar
1 : 0
Regar-TadAZ
18 Aug
Regar-TadAZ
3 : 0
Parvoz Bobojon Ghafurov
12 Aug
Maziya
0 : 3
Regar-TadAZ
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Istiqlol Dushanbe 22 15 5 2 58:18 50
2 Vakhsh 22 12 9 1 33:18 45
3 CSKA Pomir Dushanbe 22 10 7 5 38:23 37
4 Ravshan Kulob 22 8 11 3 26:20 35
5 Khujand 22 9 4 9 24:25 31
6 Regar-TadAZ 22 8 6 8 25:24 30
7 Eskhata 22 7 9 6 31:30 30
8 Barkchi Hisor 22 6 9 7 22:20 27
9 Khosilot Parkhar 22 6 6 10 27:38 24
10 Istaravshan 22 4 7 11 23:42 19
11 Hulbuk 22 2 7 13 15:39 13
12 Panjsher 22 2 6 14 16:41 12
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga 2025 (Relegation)