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Pantanal vs Nautico MS Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense 2024
Pantanal Logo

Pantanal

2 - 0
FT
Nautico MS Logo

Nautico MS

Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Kelvin
Own Goal
90' Event
Gabriel Vieira
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Pantanal in this Sul-Matogrossense 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pantanal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Pantanal
20%
Draws
0%
Nautico MS
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pantanal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Pantanal have won more games recently than Nautico MS.
  • Model gives Pantanal a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Pantanal Clean Sheet 20%
Nautico MS Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pantanal Nautico MS
Matches Played 31 8
Wins 11 0
Draws 11 0
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.42 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.26 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 29, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense
Nautico MS vs Pantanal
3:4
Jan 25, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense
Pantanal vs Nautico MS
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pantanal Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel Vieira
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Nautico MS Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pantanal 76 / 100
Nautico MS 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pantanal Nautico MS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pantanal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nautico MS has conceded goals in 100% of their last 8 outings.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Away concern: Nautico MS has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Pantanal found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Scoring Trends

Pantanal VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pantanal

(Home)
01 Mar
Pantanal
2 : 2
Ivinhema
22 Feb
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
2 : 0
Pantanal
18 Feb
Ji-Parana
2 : 0
Pantanal
11 Feb
Bataguassu
1 : 1
Pantanal
07 Feb
Pantanal
2 : 3
Naviraiense
Page 1 of 7

Nautico MS

(Away)
03 Mar
Nautico MS
1 : 3
Coxim
29 Feb
Nautico MS
3 : 4
Pantanal
17 Feb
Costa Rica
2 : 0
Nautico MS
14 Feb
Operario MS
2 : 0
Nautico MS
04 Feb
Coxim
3 : 1
Nautico MS
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Operario MS 8 6 2 0 14:3 20
2 Coxim 8 3 3 2 12:10 12
3 Pantanal 8 3 3 2 10:9 12
4 Costa Rica 8 3 2 3 8:7 11
5 Nautico MS 8 0 0 8 6:21 0
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dourados 8 5 2 1 10:4 17
2 Aquidauanense 8 4 3 1 13:8 15
3 Corumbaense 8 2 3 3 12:13 9
4 Ivinhema 8 2 1 5 12:16 7
5 Novoperario 8 1 3 4 7:13 6
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2024 (Play Offs)