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Pantanal vs Naviraiense

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Neto P.
64' Event
Flavio Rene
90' Event
Alisson d. C. C.

AI Match Summary

Pantanal in this Sul-Matogrossense 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pantanal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Pantanal
35%
Draws
52%
Naviraiense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Naviraiense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Naviraiense lately — more wins on the board than Pantanal.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Naviraiense taking it.
  • Regular Sul-Matogrossense 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Pantanal Clean Sheet 16%
Naviraiense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pantanal Naviraiense
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 10 13
Draws 12 9
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.39 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Sul-Matogrossense
Pantanal vs Naviraiense
2:3
Feb 7, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense
Pantanal vs Naviraiense
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pantanal Compare

Top Goalscorer Neto P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Flavio Rene
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Naviraiense Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pantanal 28 / 100
Naviraiense 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pantanal Naviraiense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Naviraiense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Pantanal's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Naviraiense has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Pantanal remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pantanal VS Naviraiense
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pantanal

(Home)
01 Mar
Pantanal
2 : 2
Ivinhema
22 Feb
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
2 : 0
Pantanal
18 Feb
Ji-Parana
2 : 0
Pantanal
11 Feb
Bataguassu
1 : 1
Pantanal
07 Feb
Pantanal
2 : 3
Naviraiense
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Naviraiense

(Away)
18 Mar
Naviraiense
0 : 4
Bataguassu
15 Mar
Bataguassu
0 : 1
Naviraiense
01 Mar
Aguia Negra
1 : 2
Naviraiense
22 Feb
Naviraiense
0 : 0
Operario MS
15 Feb
Costa Rica
1 : 1
Naviraiense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivinhema 9 6 1 2 21:7 19
2 Pantanal 9 5 3 1 17:7 18
3 Dourados 9 5 3 1 17:7 18
4 Operario MS 9 5 1 3 11:12 16
5 Costa Rica 9 3 5 1 14:10 14
6 Aguia Negra 9 3 2 4 14:14 11
7 Naviraiense 9 2 3 4 11:14 9
8 Corumbaense 9 2 2 5 8:14 8
9 Coxim 9 2 1 6 7:18 7
10 Aquidauanense 9 1 1 7 12:29 4
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Sul-Matogrossense 2 (Main)