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Pantanal W vs Penarol W Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro A3 Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 4-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Pantanal W
20%
Draws
29%
Penarol W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pantanal W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Pantanal W haven't matched Penarol W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Pantanal W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Penarol W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Pantanal W, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Pantanal W Clean Sheet 13%
Penarol W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pantanal W Penarol W
Matches Played 11 32
Wins 4 19
Draws 3 3
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 1.36 2.69
Goals Conceded 1 1.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Brasileiro A3 Women
Penarol W vs Pantanal W
1:1
May 17, 2026 Brasileiro A3 Women
Pantanal W vs Penarol W
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pantanal W 84 / 100
Penarol W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pantanal W Penarol W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pantanal W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Pantanal W scored in 73% of their last 11 outings.

Penarol W let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Pantanal W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pantanal W VS Penarol W
1.5 Goals Scored 2.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Pantanal W

(Home)
09 Aug
Planalto EC W
1 : 0
Pantanal W
01 Aug
Pantanal W
0 : 1
Planalto EC W
31 May
Penarol W
1 : 1
Pantanal W
17 May
Pantanal W
4 : 1
Penarol W
02 May
Cresspom W
0 : 2
Pantanal W
Page 1 of 3

Penarol W

(Away)
22 Aug
Penarol W
6 : 2
Amazonas Legis W
11 Aug
3B da Amazonia W
9 : 1
Penarol W
07 Aug
Penarol W
0 : 3
Taruma W
31 May
Penarol W
1 : 1
Pantanal W
17 May
Pantanal W
4 : 1
Penarol W
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Realidade Jovem W 6
Criciuma W 2
Coritiba W 3
Heips W 0
Planalto EC W 7
Rolim de Moura W 0
Penarol W 2
Pantanal W 5
Juventude W 3
R4 EC W 1
Uniao RN W 1
Prosperidade W 2
Tiradentes PA W 3
Sampaio Correa W 2
Sao Joao PI W 5
Portuguesa AP W 6
Quarter-finals
Realidade Jovem W 3
Coritiba W 2
Planalto EC W 2
Pantanal W 0
Juventude W 4
Prosperidade W 1
Tiradentes PA W 4
Portuguesa AP W 8
Semi-finals
Realidade Jovem W 1
Planalto EC W 4
Juventude W 3
Portuguesa AP W 0
Final
Planalto EC W 2
Juventude W 0