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Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Play-offs

Apollon Kalamaria

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Panthrakikos play Apollon Kalamaria in the Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Play-offs. It looks like a close match. Recently, Panthrakikos averaged 2.4 goals scored and 0.83 conceded. Apollon Kalamaria averaged 2.07 goals scored and 0.43 conceded. In past meetings, Panthrakikos won 2, Apollon Kalamaria won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 17, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Panthrakikos and 1.00 for Apollon Kalamaria. This points to a Apollon Kalamaria double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%

Panthrakikos

16%

Draws

43%

Apollon Kalamaria

Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Apollon Kalamaria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Panthrakikos picked up more points recently compared to Apollon Kalamaria.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 1.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 80%

Over 2.5 Goals 45%

Over 3.5 Goals 27%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33%

Panthrakikos Clean Sheet 23%

Apollon Kalamaria Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 72%

Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Panthrakikos	Apollon Kalamaria
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	21	24
Draws	3	4
Losses	6	2
Goals Scored	2.4	2.07
Goals Conceded	0.83	0.43
Expected Goals (xG)	2.63	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.50	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Play-offs

Apollon Kalamaria vs Panthrakikos

Possession: 59% - 58% Cards: 0 - 2

2:0

May 3, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Play-offs

Panthrakikos vs Apollon Kalamaria

Possession: 56% - 55% Cards: 1 - 1

2:0

Jan 12, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1

Apollon Kalamaria vs Panthrakikos

Possession: 54% - 42% Cards: 1 - 0

1:2

Sep 22, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1

Panthrakikos vs Apollon Kalamaria

Possession: 47% - 42% Cards: 4 - 2

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Panthrakikos 42 / 100

Apollon Kalamaria 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Panthrakikos Apollon Kalamaria

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Apollon Kalamaria or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +24.2%

3.03

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15.2%

2.56

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Panthrakikos attacking → ← attacking Apollon Kalamaria

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Panthrakikos scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Apollon Kalamaria let in goals in 30% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Panthrakikos went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Apollon Kalamaria lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

66 Points in last 5 76

2.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Apollon Kalamaria	6	4	1	1	10:7	13
2	Panthrakikos	6	4	0	2	13:6	12
3	Ethnikos Neou	6	2	0	4	11:14	6
4	Elassona	6	1	1	4	6:13	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Apollon Kalamaria	6	4	1	1	10:7	13
2	Panthrakikos	6	4	0	2	13:6	12
3	Ethnikos Neou	6	2	0	4	11:14	6
4	Elassona	6	1	1	4	6:13	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Apollon Kalamaria	6	4	1	1	10:7	13
2	Panthrakikos	6	4	0	2	13:6	12
3	Ethnikos Neou	6	2	0	4	11:14	6
4	Elassona	6	1	1	4	6:13	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Apollon Kalamaria	6	4	1	1	10:7	13
2	Panthrakikos	6	4	0	2	13:6	12
3	Ethnikos Neou	6	2	0	4	11:14	6
4	Elassona	6	1	1	4	6:13	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Apollon Kalamaria	6	4	1	1	10:7	13
2	Panthrakikos	6	4	0	2	13:6	12
3	Ethnikos Neou	6	2	0	4	11:14	6
4	Elassona	6	1	1	4	6:13	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Apollon Kalamaria	6	4	1	1	10:7	13
2	Panthrakikos	6	4	0	2	13:6	12
3	Ethnikos Neou	6	2	0	4	11:14	6
4	Elassona	6	1	1	4	6:13	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Apollon Kalamaria	6	4	1	1	10:7	13
2	Panthrakikos	6	4	0	2	13:6	12
3	Ethnikos Neou	6	2	0	4	11:14	6
4	Elassona	6	1	1	4	6:13	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Zakynthos	6	3	2	1	8:4	11
2	Pyrgos	6	2	2	2	4:7	8
3	Aris Petroupolis	6	2	2	2	4:4	8
4	Ethnikos Piraeus	6	1	2	3	3:4	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Zakynthos	6	3	2	1	8:4	11
2	Pyrgos	6	2	2	2	4:7	8
3	Aris Petroupolis	6	2	2	2	4:4	8
4	Ethnikos Piraeus	6	1	2	3	3:4	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Zakynthos	6	3	2	1	8:4	11
2	Pyrgos	6	2	2	2	4:7	8
3	Aris Petroupolis	6	2	2	2	4:4	8
4	Ethnikos Piraeus	6	1	2	3	3:4	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Zakynthos	6	3	2	1	8:4	11
2	Pyrgos	6	2	2	2	4:7	8
3	Aris Petroupolis	6	2	2	2	4:4	8
4	Ethnikos Piraeus	6	1	2	3	3:4	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Zakynthos	6	3	2	1	8:4	11
2	Pyrgos	6	2	2	2	4:7	8
3	Aris Petroupolis	6	2	2	2	4:4	8
4	Ethnikos Piraeus	6	1	2	3	3:4	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Zakynthos	6	3	2	1	8:4	11
2	Pyrgos	6	2	2	2	4:7	8
3	Aris Petroupolis	6	2	2	2	4:4	8
4	Ethnikos Piraeus	6	1	2	3	3:4	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Zakynthos	6	3	2	1	8:4	11
2	Pyrgos	6	2	2	2	4:7	8
3	Aris Petroupolis	6	2	2	2	4:4	8
4	Ethnikos Piraeus	6	1	2	3	3:4	5