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PAOK vs AEK Larnaca Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Ivanovic D.
18'
Sub
Berdos D. In: Chatsidis D.
Out: Berdos D.
31' Event
Chatsidis D.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between PAOK and AEK Larnaca finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward PAOK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
PAOK
15%
Draws
46%
AEK Larnaca
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AEK Larnaca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and PAOK come out ahead of AEK Larnaca on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
PAOK Clean Sheet 11%
AEK Larnaca Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PAOK AEK Larnaca
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 13
Draws 7 7
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.9 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 7, 2026 Club Friendly
PAOK vs AEK Larnaca
3:2
Jul 3, 2024 Club Friendly
PAOK vs AEK Larnaca
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PAOK Compare

Top Goalscorer Chatsidis D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jeremejeff A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

AEK Larnaca Compare

Top Goalscorer Ivanovic D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ioannou P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PAOK 30 / 100
AEK Larnaca 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PAOK AEK Larnaca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PAOK found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

AEK Larnaca's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: PAOK stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

PAOK VS AEK Larnaca
1.75 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

PAOK

(Home)
20 Sept
Panetolikos
1 : 3
PAOK
16 Sept
Atromitos
0 : 1
PAOK
13 Sept
PAOK
2 : 0
Aris
06 Sept
Panathinaikos
3 : 1
PAOK
02 Sept
PAOK
0 : 0
OFI Crete
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AEK Larnaca

(Away)
27 Sept
AEK Larnaca
2 : 1
Nea Salamis
18 Sept
Omonia 29th May
1 : 2
AEK Larnaca
13 Sept
AEK Larnaca
0 : 1
Pafos
06 Sept
Nea Salamis
1 : 4
AEK Larnaca
29 Aug
AEK Larnaca
3 : 1
APOEL
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