Sport Picks

Stadium Background

PAOK vs AEK Larnaca

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Ivanovic D.
18'
Sub
Berdos D. In: Chatsidis D.
Out: Berdos D.
31' Event
Chatsidis D.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between PAOK and AEK Larnaca finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward PAOK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
PAOK
6%
Draws
4%
AEK Larnaca
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: PAOK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • AEK Larnaca have managed 1.5 goals a game lately — PAOK are scoring more at 2.5.
  • Model gives PAOK a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
PAOK Clean Sheet 16%
AEK Larnaca Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PAOK AEK Larnaca
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 13 13
Draws 8 8
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 2.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 7, 2026 Club Friendly
PAOK vs AEK Larnaca
3:2
Jul 3, 2024 Club Friendly
PAOK vs AEK Larnaca
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PAOK Compare

Top Goalscorer Chatsidis D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jeremejeff A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

AEK Larnaca Compare

Top Goalscorer Ivanovic D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ioannou P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PAOK 84 / 100
AEK Larnaca 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PAOK AEK Larnaca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

PAOK scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

AEK Larnaca's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: PAOK stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

PAOK VS AEK Larnaca
2.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

PAOK

(Home)
11 Jul
PAOK
2 : 3
Twente
07 Jul
PAOK
3 : 2
AEK Larnaca
04 Jul
PAOK
4 : 0
Westerlo
01 Jul
PAOK
4 : 1
SK Beveren
17 May
Panathinaikos
2 : 2
PAOK
Page 1 of 6

AEK Larnaca

(Away)
16 Jul
Apollon Limassol
0 : 0
AEK Larnaca
10 Jul
Ajax
1 : 0
AEK Larnaca
07 Jul
PAOK
3 : 2
AEK Larnaca
04 Jul
Helmond Sport
1 : 2
AEK Larnaca
22 May
Aris Limassol
3 : 4
AEK Larnaca
Page 1 of 6