Sport Picks
PAOK vs Asteras Tripolis - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Greece
Super League Toumba Stadium, Thessaloniki 
AI Match Summary
PAOK host Asteras Tripolis in the Super League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. PAOK have averaged 1.74 scored and 1.23 conceded recently, against Asteras Tripolis's 1.26 scored and 1.29 conceded. Past meetings favor PAOK slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 1, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.56 - 1.31) back PAOK to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Asteras Tripolis haven't matched PAOK's recent run of results.
- 48% — that's where the model lands on PAOK taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors PAOK here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | PAOK | Asteras Tripolis |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 14 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.74 | 1.26 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
PAOK's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.
Asteras Tripolis's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.
PAOK went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
PAOK
(Home)Asteras Tripolis
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 17:4 | 18 |
| 2 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 7:2 | 16 |
| 3 | PAOK | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 15:9 | 15 |
| 4 | AEK | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 16:3 | 14 |
| 5 | Aris | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:13 | 13 |
| 6 | Kalamata | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13:12 | 10 |
| 7 | OFI Crete | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:11 | 10 |
| 8 | Iraklis FC | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7:8 | 9 |
| 9 | Panetolikos | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8:11 | 9 |
| 10 | Kifisia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | 8 |
| 11 | Asteras Tripolis | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:15 | 5 |
| 12 | Atromitos | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5:9 | 2 |
| 13 | Levadiakos | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0:11 | 2 |
| 14 | Volos | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6:12 | 0 |
