Sport Picks

Stadium Background

PAOK vs Atromitos

Greece Greece

Greek Cup Toumba Stadium, Thessaloniki
Tue, Jan 6, 2026
2 - 1
06:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Baku M.
Assist: Koselev A.
54' Event
Zivkovic A.
Assist: Jeremejeff A.
61'
Jubitana D.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with PAOK advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
PAOK
20%
Draws
38%
Atromitos
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: PAOK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • PAOK carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on PAOK taking it.
  • PAOK have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor PAOK, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • PAOK have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
PAOK Clean Sheet 10%
Atromitos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PAOK Atromitos
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 17 11
Draws 9 7
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 2.5 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 6, 2026 Greek Cup
PAOK vs Atromitos
2:1
Dec 14, 2025 Super League
Atromitos vs PAOK
2:0
Aug 31, 2025 Super League
PAOK vs Atromitos
1:0
Dec 22, 2024 Super League
PAOK vs Atromitos
3:0
Sep 1, 2024 Super League
Atromitos vs PAOK
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PAOK Compare

Top Goalscorer Zivkovic A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Atromitos Compare

Top Goalscorer Baku M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PAOK 40 / 100
Atromitos 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PAOK Atromitos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PAOK found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (34 games).

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

PAOK went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Atromitos has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

PAOK VS Atromitos
2.5 Goals Scored 2.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

PAOK

(Home)
23 Jul
Dynamo Kyiv
2 : 3
PAOK
11 Jul
PAOK
2 : 3
Twente
07 Jul
PAOK
3 : 2
AEK Larnaca
04 Jul
PAOK
4 : 0
Westerlo
01 Jul
PAOK
4 : 1
SK Beveren
Page 1 of 7

Atromitos

(Away)
21 May
Atromitos
6 : 0
Panserraikos
16 May
AEL Larissa
2 : 1
Atromitos
12 May
Kifisia
0 : 3
Atromitos
09 May
Atromitos
1 : 2
Panetolikos
02 May
Asteras Tripolis
4 : 2
Atromitos
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Olympiacos Piraeus-
TBD-
PAOK2
Atromitos1
Panathinaikos-
TBD-
Aris2
Panetolikos0
Levadiakos-
TBD-
Volos0
Kifisia1
AEK-
TBD-
OFI Crete2
Asteras Tripolis0
Quarter-finals
Olympiacos Piraeus0
PAOK2
Panathinaikos3
Aris0
Levadiakos2
Kifisia0
AEK0
OFI Crete1
Semi-finals
PAOK3
Panathinaikos0
Levadiakos1
OFI Crete2
Final
PAOK2
OFI Crete3