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PAOK vs Kalamata

Greece Greece

Super League Toumba Stadium, Thessaloniki
Mon, Oct 12, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

PAOK host Kalamata in the Super League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: PAOK at 1.9 goals for, 1.21 against; Kalamata at 1.77 for, 0.77 against. Head-to-head, PAOK have won 3 to Kalamata's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Jan 10, 2023, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.56) point toward Kalamata. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
PAOK
35%
Draws
24%
Kalamata
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: PAOK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • PAOK haven't matched Kalamata's recent run of results.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on PAOK taking it.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
PAOK Clean Sheet 68%
Kalamata Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PAOK Kalamata
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 20
Draws 7 5
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 1.9 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.21 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2023 Greek Cup
PAOK vs Kalamata
2:0
Dec 14, 2022 Greek Cup
Kalamata vs PAOK
0:2
Jan 27, 2001 Super League
PAOK vs Kalamata
7:1
Sep 15, 2000 Super League
Kalamata vs PAOK
0:0
Feb 12, 2000 Super League
Kalamata vs PAOK
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PAOK 77 / 100
Kalamata 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PAOK Kalamata

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAOK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PAOK's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

PAOK has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Kalamata conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

PAOK VS Kalamata
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

PAOK

(Home)
20 Sept
Panetolikos
1 : 3
PAOK
16 Sept
Atromitos
0 : 1
PAOK
13 Sept
PAOK
2 : 0
Aris
06 Sept
Panathinaikos
3 : 1
PAOK
02 Sept
PAOK
0 : 0
OFI Crete
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Kalamata

(Away)
20 Sept
Kalamata
0 : 1
Panathinaikos
17 Sept
Kalamata
1 : 1
AEL Larissa
13 Sept
Kalamata
3 : 1
Volos
06 Sept
Atromitos
1 : 1
Kalamata
01 Sept
Volos
2 : 2
Kalamata
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panathinaikos 5 5 0 0 12:2 15
2 PAOK 5 4 0 1 12:5 12
3 AEK 5 3 2 0 13:3 11
4 OFI Crete 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
5 Olympiacos Piraeus 5 3 1 1 4:2 10
6 Panetolikos 5 3 0 2 8:7 9
7 Aris 5 2 1 2 5:10 7
8 Iraklis FC 5 1 3 1 4:6 6
9 Kifisia 5 1 2 2 4:7 5
10 Kalamata 5 1 1 3 6:8 4
11 Atromitos 5 0 2 3 4:7 2
12 Asteras Tripolis 5 0 2 3 4:9 2
13 Volos 5 0 2 3 4:9 2
14 Levadiakos 5 0 1 4 0:9 1
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Promotion - Super League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Super League (Relegation Group)