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World

World Cup Women

Fiji W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Papua New Guinea W play Fiji W in the World Cup Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, Papua New Guinea W averaged 2.86 goals scored and 1.48 conceded. Fiji W averaged 2.13 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. In past meetings, Papua New Guinea W won 3, Fiji W won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 8, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.06 for Papua New Guinea W and 1.13 for Fiji W. This points to a Papua New Guinea W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%

Papua New Guinea W

15%

Draws

37%

Fiji W

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Papua New Guinea W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence

Papua New Guinea W picked up more points recently compared to Fiji W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.06 vs 1.13 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 89%

Over 2.5 Goals 81%

Over 3.5 Goals 49%

Over 4.5 Goals 24%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%

Papua New Guinea W Clean Sheet 21%

Fiji W Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 80%

Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Papua New Guinea W	Fiji W
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	17	16
Draws	4	2
Losses	8	12
Goals Scored	2.86	2.13
Goals Conceded	1.48	1.8
Expected Goals (xG)	3.00	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.38	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 World Cup Women

Papua New Guinea W vs Fiji W

Possession: 44% - 54% Cards: 1 - 1

1:0

Nov 23, 2025 Friendly International Women

Papua New Guinea W vs Fiji W

Possession: 41% - 47% Cards: 1 - 2

3:0

Jul 16, 2025 OFC Nations Cup Women

Papua New Guinea W vs Fiji W

Possession: 52% - 54% Cards: 4 - 1

2:1

Jun 2, 2025 Friendly International Women

Papua New Guinea W vs Fiji W

Possession: 56% - 46% Cards: 2 - 2

1:3

May 30, 2025 Friendly International Women

Papua New Guinea W vs Fiji W

Possession: 59% - 41% Cards: 3 - 3

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Papua New Guinea W Compare

Top Goalscorer Gunemba M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 2.31

Avg xA / game 1.5

Fiji W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Papua New Guinea W 47 / 100

Fiji W 35 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Papua New Guinea W Fiji W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Papua New Guinea W or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +20%

2.50

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +7.7%

1.33

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Papua New Guinea W attacking → ← attacking Fiji W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Papua New Guinea W scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Fiji W let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Papua New Guinea W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Fiji W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

55 Points in last 5 50

3.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.88

0.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	New Zealand W	3	3	0	19:0	9
2	American Samoa W	3	2	1	2:3	6
3	Samoa W	3	1	2	2:10	3
4	Solomon Islands W	3	0	3	1:11	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Papua New Guinea W	3	3	0	10:0	9
2	Fiji W	3	2	1	6:1	6
3	New Caledonia W	3	1	2	2:10	3
4	Vanuatu W	3	0	3	1:8	0