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Papua New Guinea W vs Fiji W

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Nations Cup Women
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Kalapai K.
33' Event
Padio R.
34' Event
Leba N.

AI Match Summary

Papua New Guinea W in this OFC Nations Cup Women tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Papua New Guinea W
6%
Draws
4%
Fiji W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Papua New Guinea W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Papua New Guinea W lately — more wins on the board than Fiji W.
  • Win probability leans Papua New Guinea W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Papua New Guinea W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Papua New Guinea W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Papua New Guinea W Clean Sheet 20%
Fiji W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Papua New Guinea W Fiji W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 17 16
Draws 4 2
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 3 1.88
Goals Conceded 0.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 World Cup Women
Papua New Guinea W vs Fiji W
1:0
Nov 23, 2025 Friendly International Women
Papua New Guinea W vs Fiji W
3:0
Jul 16, 2025 OFC Nations Cup Women
Papua New Guinea W vs Fiji W
2:1
Jun 2, 2025 Friendly International Women
Papua New Guinea W vs Fiji W
1:3
May 30, 2025 Friendly International Women
Papua New Guinea W vs Fiji W
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Papua New Guinea W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kalapai K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Padio R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

Fiji W Compare

Top Goalscorer Leba N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Papua New Guinea W 85 / 100
Fiji W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Papua New Guinea W Fiji W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Papua New Guinea W scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Fiji W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Papua New Guinea W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Papua New Guinea W VS Fiji W
3 Goals Scored 1.88
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Papua New Guinea W

(Home)
15 Apr
New Zealand W
1 : 0
Papua New Guinea W
11 Apr
Papua New Guinea W
1 : 0
American Samoa W
08 Mar
Papua New Guinea W
1 : 0
Fiji W
05 Mar
New Caledonia W
0 : 4
Papua New Guinea W
27 Feb
Papua New Guinea W
5 : 0
Vanuatu W
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Fiji W

(Away)
06 Jun
Hong Kong W
3 : 1
Fiji W
03 Jun
Hong Kong W
3 : 2
Fiji W
11 Apr
New Zealand W
5 : 0
Fiji W
08 Mar
Papua New Guinea W
1 : 0
Fiji W
05 Mar
Vanuatu W
0 : 1
Fiji W
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Papua New Guinea W2
Fiji W1
Solomon Islands W2
Samoa W1
Final
Papua New Guinea W2
Solomon Islands W3
Fiji W0
Samoa W2