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Papua New Guinea W vs Vanuatu W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International Women
Sat, Oct 3, 2026
1 - 2
12:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vanuatu W in this Friendly International Women matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vanuatu W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Papua New Guinea W
15%
Draws
39%
Vanuatu W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Papua New Guinea W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Vanuatu W haven't matched Papua New Guinea W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Papua New Guinea W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Friendly International Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Papua New Guinea W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Papua New Guinea W Clean Sheet 20%
Vanuatu W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Papua New Guinea W Vanuatu W
Matches Played 29 26
Wins 19 10
Draws 4 2
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 3.21 1.12
Goals Conceded 1.03 2.08
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Friendly International Women
Papua New Guinea W vs Vanuatu W
1:2
Sep 26, 2026 Friendly International Women
Papua New Guinea W vs Vanuatu W
2:0
Feb 27, 2026 World Cup Women
Papua New Guinea W vs Vanuatu W
5:0
Nov 13, 2025 Friendly International Women
Papua New Guinea W vs Vanuatu W
4:0
Jul 14, 2022 OFC Nations Cup Women
Vanuatu W vs Papua New Guinea W
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Papua New Guinea W 85 / 100
Vanuatu W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Papua New Guinea W Vanuatu W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Papua New Guinea W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Papua New Guinea W's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Vanuatu W let in goals in 73% of their last 26 matches.

Recent resilience: Papua New Guinea W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Papua New Guinea W VS Vanuatu W
2.38 Goals Scored 1.63
0.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Papua New Guinea W

(Home)
03 Oct
Papua New Guinea W
1 : 2
Vanuatu W
29 Sept
Papua New Guinea W
5 : 1
Solomon Islands W
26 Sept
Papua New Guinea W
2 : 0
Vanuatu W
20 Sept
New Caledonia W
1 : 4
Papua New Guinea W
17 Sept
Fiji W
0 : 4
Papua New Guinea W
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Vanuatu W

(Away)
03 Oct
Papua New Guinea W
1 : 2
Vanuatu W
26 Sept
Papua New Guinea W
2 : 0
Vanuatu W
23 Sept
Vanuatu W
5 : 0
New Caledonia W
20 Sept
Fiji W
0 : 1
Vanuatu W
17 Sept
Solomon Islands W
1 : 1
Vanuatu W
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