Sport Picks

Croatia

3. HNL North

Papuk Orahovica

2 - 0

Virovitica

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL North game between Papuk Orahovica and Virovitica finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Papuk Orahovica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Papuk Orahovica

Draws

90%

Virovitica

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Virovitica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Papuk Orahovica carry the better recent record into this one.
Win probability leans Virovitica's way, sitting at 90%.
Regular 3. HNL North form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%

Papuk Orahovica Clean Sheet 10%

Virovitica Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Papuk Orahovica	Virovitica
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	10	6
Draws	5	4
Losses	16	20
Goals Scored	0.5	1.75
Goals Conceded	2	1.88
Expected Goals (xG)	0.50	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.00	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2022 3. HNL North

Papuk Orahovica vs Virovitica

Possession: 48% - 40% Cards: 2 - 1

1:1

Apr 16, 2022 3. HNL North

Virovitica vs Papuk Orahovica

Possession: 50% - 55% Cards: 1 - 2

5:0

Oct 30, 2021 3. HNL North

Papuk Orahovica vs Virovitica

Possession: 52% - 53% Cards: 4 - 2

2:0

Mar 20, 2021 3. HNL North

Papuk Orahovica vs Virovitica

Possession: 52% - 57% Cards: 3 - 1

2:1

Sep 12, 2020 3. HNL North

Virovitica vs Papuk Orahovica

Possession: 41% - 48% Cards: 1 - 3

4:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Papuk Orahovica 10 / 100

Virovitica 83 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Papuk Orahovica Virovitica

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIR Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Virovitica's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Papuk Orahovica's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Away concern: Virovitica has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Papuk Orahovica VS Virovitica

0.5 Goals Scored 1.75

2 Goals Conceded 1.88

63% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	NK Polet	22	17	0	5	61:17	51
2	Mladost Zdralovi	22	15	5	2	45:15	50
3	Bjelovar	22	14	3	5	53:26	45
4	Radnik Krizevci	22	14	2	6	57:25	44
5	Medjimurje	22	12	3	7	40:33	39
6	Podravina Ludbreg	22	8	7	7	35:41	31
7	Papuk Orahovica	22	7	4	11	32:43	25
8	Varteks Varazdin (2011)	22	6	4	12	20:39	22
9	NK Koprivnica	22	3	8	11	24:43	17
10	Virovitica	22	5	2	15	25:52	17
11	Podravac Virje	22	4	4	14	23:50	16
12	Rudar Mursko Sredisce	22	4	4	14	25:56	16