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Para vs Eastern United

Australia Australia

SA State League 2022
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

Para host Eastern United in the SA State League 2022. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Eastern United have shipped 1.38 goals a game lately, while Para have conceded 4.25 and scored 0.5. Past meetings favor Para slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 12, 2023, ending 6:1. xG projections (0.94 - 2.63) back Eastern United to edge this. Eastern United in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Para
6%
Draws
90%
Eastern United
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Eastern United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Eastern United has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Para.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Eastern United.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in SA State League 2022 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Para Clean Sheet 10%
Eastern United Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Para Eastern United
Matches Played 35 33
Wins 7 11
Draws 5 5
Losses 23 17
Goals Scored 0.5 1
Goals Conceded 4.25 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2023 SA State League
Para vs Eastern United
6:1
Jun 23, 2023 SA State League
Eastern United vs Para
1:2
Jul 2, 2022 SA State League
Para vs Eastern United
3:1
Apr 4, 2022 SA State League
Eastern United vs Para
0:1
Sep 4, 2021 SA State League
Eastern United vs Para
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Para 10 / 100
Eastern United 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Para Eastern United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EAS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Para scored in 63% of their last 35 games.

Eastern United let in goals in 85% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Para went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Eastern United lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Para VS Eastern United
0.5 Goals Scored 1
4.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Modbury Jets22153475:3048
2West Adelaide22119247:2842
3Blue Eagles22124648:2940
4Para22124635:2840
5Adelaide Croatia Raiders22114745:3437
6Fulham United2296730:2833
7Playford Patriots22931031:4330
8Port Adelaide Lion22911231:5128
9Eastern United22741129:3825
10Adelaide Atletico2259821:2324
11Adelaide University SC22341521:5013
12Adelaide Hills Hawks22231720:519