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Para vs Port Adelaide Lion Prediction & H2H Stats

Australia Australia

SA State League 2022
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AI Match Summary

The SA State League 2022 game between Para and Port Adelaide Lion finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Para.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Para
15%
Draws
85%
Port Adelaide Lion
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Port Adelaide Lion

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Port Adelaide Lion carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Port Adelaide Lion's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular SA State League 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Para Clean Sheet 10%
Port Adelaide Lion Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Para Port Adelaide Lion
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 3 8
Draws 3 1
Losses 26 21
Goals Scored 1.06 1.27
Goals Conceded 4.06 2.7
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2023 SA State League
Para vs Port Adelaide Lion
1:3
Apr 22, 2023 SA State League
Port Adelaide Lion vs Para
0:3
Jun 11, 2022 SA State League
Port Adelaide Lion vs Para
2:3
Mar 5, 2022 SA State League
Para vs Port Adelaide Lion
3:0
Aug 1, 2015 NPL South Australia
Port Adelaide Lion vs Para
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Para 10 / 100
Port Adelaide Lion 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Para Port Adelaide Lion

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Port Adelaide Lion Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Port Adelaide Lion let in goals in 100% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Para scored in 63% of their last 32 outings.

Difficult form: Port Adelaide Lion registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Para VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
4.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Para

(Home)
15 Aug
Para
2 : 5
Adelaide Comets
08 Aug
Adelaide Utd U23
5 : 2
Para
01 Aug
West Adelaide
2 : 1
Para
25 Jul
Para
2 : 4
Playford Patriots
17 Jul
West Torrens Birkalla
11 : 0
Para
Page 1 of 7

Port Adelaide Lion

(Away)
12 Aug
Adelaide Atletico
2 : 2
Port Adelaide Lion
05 Aug
Port Adelaide Lion
2 : 4
West Torrens Birkalla
15 Jul
Port Adelaide Lion
0 : 4
Playford Patriots
08 Jul
Para
1 : 3
Port Adelaide Lion
01 Jul
Blue Eagles
2 : 1
Port Adelaide Lion
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Modbury Jets 22 15 3 4 75:30 48
2 West Adelaide 22 11 9 2 47:28 42
3 Blue Eagles 22 12 4 6 48:29 40
4 Para 22 12 4 6 35:28 40
5 Adelaide Croatia Raiders 22 11 4 7 45:34 37
6 Fulham United 22 9 6 7 30:28 33
7 Playford Patriots 22 9 3 10 31:43 30
8 Port Adelaide Lion 22 9 1 12 31:51 28
9 Eastern United 22 7 4 11 29:38 25
10 Adelaide Atletico 22 5 9 8 21:23 24
11 Adelaide University SC 22 3 4 15 21:50 13
12 Adelaide Hills Hawks 22 2 3 17 20:51 9
Promotion - SA State League 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - SA State League 2024 (Play Offs)