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Para vs West Adelaide Prediction & H2H Stats

Australia Australia

NPL South Australia Cass & Co Stadium (Paddocks), Adelaide
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Stam R.
62' Event
Ulaj M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this NPL South Australia matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Para
15%
Draws
85%
West Adelaide
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: West Adelaide

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to West Adelaide lately — more wins on the board than Para.
  • West Adelaide are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular NPL South Australia form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • West Adelaide have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Para Clean Sheet 10%
West Adelaide Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Para West Adelaide
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 12
Draws 3 8
Losses 25 10
Goals Scored 1 1.93
Goals Conceded 4.23 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 3.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 NPL South Australia
West Adelaide vs Para
2:1
May 9, 2026 NPL South Australia
Para vs West Adelaide
1:1
Jan 28, 2025 Club Friendly
West Adelaide vs Para
5:1
Sep 10, 2022 SA State League
West Adelaide vs Para
4:3
May 28, 2022 SA State League
West Adelaide vs Para
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Para Compare

Top Goalscorer Ulaj M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

West Adelaide Compare

Top Goalscorer Stam R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.18
Avg xA / game 1.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Para 10 / 100
West Adelaide 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Para West Adelaide

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick West Adelaide Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

Para's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

West Adelaide has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: West Adelaide has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Para VS West Adelaide
0.5 Goals Scored 1.75
5.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Para

(Home)
15 Aug
Para
2 : 5
Adelaide Comets
08 Aug
Adelaide Utd U23
5 : 2
Para
01 Aug
West Adelaide
2 : 1
Para
25 Jul
Para
2 : 4
Playford Patriots
17 Jul
West Torrens Birkalla
11 : 0
Para
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West Adelaide

(Away)
15 Aug
West Adelaide
1 : 2
Playford Patriots
07 Aug
West Torrens Birkalla
6 : 1
West Adelaide
01 Aug
West Adelaide
2 : 1
Para
25 Jul
MetroStars
1 : 3
West Adelaide
18 Jul
West Adelaide
0 : 0
Sturt Lions FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adelaide City 22 14 6 2 44:16 48
2 West Torrens Birkalla 22 14 3 5 54:29 45
3 MetroStars 22 13 5 4 53:23 44
4 Playford Patriots 22 10 5 7 42:31 35
5 FK Beograd 22 10 3 9 35:30 33
6 Croydon 22 8 6 8 46:41 30
7 Adelaide Utd U23 22 7 8 7 33:32 29
8 Campbelltown City 22 8 5 9 35:36 29
9 Sturt Lions FC 22 8 3 11 35:36 27
10 West Adelaide 22 6 7 9 40:44 25
11 Adelaide Comets 22 5 5 12 25:38 20
12 Para 22 0 2 20 16:102 2
Promotion - NPL South Australia (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL South Australia (Play Offs)
Relegation - SA State League 2027 (Main)