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Paracatu vs Essube Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

64' Event
Levi
77' Event
Mateusinho

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Mineiro 3 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Paracatu
15%
Draws
0%
Essube
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paracatu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Paracatu have won more games recently than Essube.
  • Paracatu are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Mineiro 3 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Paracatu Clean Sheet 20%
Essube Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paracatu Essube
Matches Played 26 20
Wins 12 6
Draws 9 4
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.85 1.35
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2025 Mineiro 3
Essube vs Paracatu
0:2
Oct 11, 2025 Mineiro 3
Paracatu vs Essube
1:1
Oct 7, 2024 Mineiro 3
Paracatu vs Essube
1:1
Sep 14, 2024 Mineiro 3
Essube vs Paracatu
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paracatu Compare

Top Goalscorer Mateusinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Essube Compare

Top Goalscorer Levi
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paracatu 85 / 100
Essube 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paracatu Essube

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paracatu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Paracatu scored in 81% of their last 26 outings.

Essube has conceded goals in 80% of their last 20 outings.

Paracatu has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Essube registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Paracatu VS Essube
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Paracatu

(Home)
03 Oct
Paracatu
3 : 0
Funorte EC
26 Sept
Araxa
1 : 2
Paracatu
19 Sept
Paracatu
5 : 0
Siderurgica
22 Nov
Paracatu
0 : 0
Novo Esporte
15 Nov
Tupi-MG
1 : 2
Paracatu
Page 1 of 6

Essube

(Away)
22 Nov
Coimbra Esporte Clube
2 : 0
Essube
15 Nov
Essube
1 : 3
Boa
08 Nov
Tupi-MG
1 : 0
Essube
01 Nov
Novo Esporte
2 : 0
Essube
25 Oct
Essube
0 : 2
Paracatu
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tupi-MG 6 3 3 0 11:7 12
2 Coimbra Esporte Clube 6 3 2 1 12:6 11
3 Novo Esporte 6 3 2 1 8:4 11
4 Inter de Minas 6 3 1 2 11:7 10
5 Boston City 6 2 1 3 7:11 7
6 Uniao Luziense 6 0 3 3 4:7 3
7 Serranense 6 0 2 4 5:16 2
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2025 (Final Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boa 5 4 1 0 13:1 13
2 Paracatu 5 1 3 1 5:8 6
3 Juventus Minasnovense 5 1 2 2 6:10 5
4 Essube 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
5 Passos 5 1 2 2 3:4 5
6 Nacional Uberaba 5 1 2 2 5:8 5
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2025 (Final Group)