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Paracatu vs Mamore

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mamore in this Mineiro 3 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mamore.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Paracatu
39%
Draws
31%
Mamore
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Mamore have won more games recently than Paracatu.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Mineiro 3 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Mamore have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Paracatu Clean Sheet 20%
Mamore Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paracatu Mamore
Matches Played 34 46
Wins 12 17
Draws 13 16
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.25 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2023 Mineiro 3
Paracatu vs Mamore
1:3
Sep 11, 2023 Mineiro 3
Mamore vs Paracatu
2:0
Aug 6, 2022 Mineiro 3
Mamore vs Paracatu
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paracatu 31 / 100
Mamore 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paracatu Mamore

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Paracatu scored in 71% of their last 34 outings.

Mamore's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 46 matches.

Paracatu went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Paracatu VS Mamore
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Paracatu

(Home)
22 Nov
Paracatu
0 : 0
Novo Esporte
15 Nov
Tupi-MG
1 : 2
Paracatu
08 Nov
Coimbra Esporte Clube
2 : 1
Paracatu
01 Nov
Paracatu
1 : 1
Boa
25 Oct
Essube
0 : 2
Paracatu
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Mamore

(Away)
18 Jul
Mamore
2 : 1
Uberaba
12 Jul
Mamore
1 : 0
Patrocinense
05 Jul
Uberaba
1 : 0
Mamore
01 Jul
Mamore
2 : 2
Guarani-MG
28 Jun
Boa
0 : 0
Mamore
Page 1 of 10

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1America TO65108:216
2Valeriodoce64026:412
3Juventus Minasnovense62137:77
4Boston City60064:120
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guarani-MG650110:215
2Pocos de Caldas63126:610
3Villa Real51131:44
4Tres Coracoes51042:73
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Contagem64115:213
2Coimbra Esporte Clube632113:311
3Inter de Minas63128:610
4Serranense60064:190
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mamore862016:420
2Araxa842211:614
3Paracatu73139:810
4Nacional Uberaba71334:96
5Pirapora81073:163
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2023 (Play Offs)