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Paracatu vs Nacional Uberaba

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2023
Sat, Oct 21, 2023
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Paracatu host Nacional Uberaba in the Mineiro 3 2023. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Paracatu at 1.38 goals for, 1.13 against; Nacional Uberaba at 0.83 for, 1.33 against. Past meetings favor Paracatu slightly — 2-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 1, 2025, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.35 xG vs 0.98) point toward Paracatu. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Paracatu
17%
Draws
13%
Nacional Uberaba
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Paracatu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Nacional Uberaba haven't matched Paracatu's recent run of results.
  • Paracatu are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Paracatu Clean Sheet 20%
Nacional Uberaba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paracatu Nacional Uberaba
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 11 10
Draws 12 6
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.38 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 1, 2025 Mineiro 3
Nacional Uberaba vs Paracatu
1:1
Sep 28, 2024 Mineiro 3
Paracatu vs Nacional Uberaba
3:0
Sep 21, 2024 Mineiro 3
Nacional Uberaba vs Paracatu
2:3
Oct 21, 2023 Mineiro 3
Paracatu vs Nacional Uberaba
0:0
Aug 26, 2023 Mineiro 3
Nacional Uberaba vs Paracatu
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paracatu 67 / 100
Nacional Uberaba 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paracatu Nacional Uberaba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paracatu's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Nacional Uberaba conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Paracatu has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Paracatu VS Nacional Uberaba
1.38 Goals Scored 0.83
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.33
75% Over 1.5 67%
38% Over 2.5 33%
25% Over 3.5 33%

League Standings

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3Inter de Minas63128:610
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PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mamore862016:420
2Araxa842211:614
3Paracatu73139:810
4Nacional Uberaba71334:96
5Pirapora81073:163