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Paracin vs Djerdap

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - East 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Srpska Liga - East 2025/2026 game between Paracin and Djerdap finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Djerdap.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Paracin
15%
Draws
85%
Djerdap
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Djerdap

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Djerdap come out ahead of Paracin on wins alone.
  • Model gives Djerdap a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Djerdap have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 60.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 27%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Paracin Clean Sheet 10%
Djerdap Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paracin Djerdap
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 5 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 21 12
Goals Scored 1.1 1.59
Goals Conceded 2.6 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.87 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Srpska Liga - East
Paracin vs Djerdap
1:4
Oct 18, 2025 Srpska Liga - East
Djerdap vs Paracin
3:0
Mar 15, 2025 Srpska Liga - East
Djerdap vs Paracin
1:0
Aug 17, 2024 Srpska Liga - East
Paracin vs Djerdap
2:1
Mar 2, 2024 Srpska Liga - East
Djerdap vs Paracin
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paracin 10 / 100
Djerdap 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paracin Djerdap

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Djerdap Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Djerdap let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Paracin's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Away concern: Djerdap has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Paracin VS Djerdap
0.86 Goals Scored 1.75
4 Goals Conceded 2.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
86% Over 2.5 75%
71% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Paracin

(Home)
14 Jun
Jedinstvo Krusevac
9 : 0
Paracin
07 Jun
Paracin
0 : 4
Sindjelic
30 May
Jagodina
4 : 1
Paracin
23 May
Paracin
0 : 2
OFK Bor 1919
17 May
Vlasina
4 : 2
Paracin
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Djerdap

(Away)
19 Sept
Djerdap
5 : 0
Sloga Leskovac
13 Sept
Vlasina
1 : 0
Djerdap
05 Sept
Djerdap
0 : 1
Jagodina
29 Aug
Sindjelic
0 : 2
Djerdap
22 Aug
Djerdap
3 : 0
Jedinstvo Krusevac
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