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Paracin vs Radnicki Pirot

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - East
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Paracin play Radnicki Pirot in the Srpska Liga - East. Radnicki Pirot are favorites here. Recently, Paracin averaged 1.1 goals scored and 2.6 conceded. Radnicki Pirot averaged 1.97 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. In past meetings, Paracin won 0, Radnicki Pirot won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 20, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Paracin and 2.19 for Radnicki Pirot. This points to a Radnicki Pirot double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Paracin
18%
Draws
61%
Radnicki Pirot
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Radnicki Pirot

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Paracin picked up more points recently compared to Radnicki Pirot.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 2.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Paracin Clean Sheet 10%
Radnicki Pirot Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paracin Radnicki Pirot
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 13
Draws 4 6
Losses 21 11
Goals Scored 1.1 1.97
Goals Conceded 2.6 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2026 Srpska Liga - East
Paracin vs Radnicki Pirot
1:2
Sep 28, 2025 Srpska Liga - East
Radnicki Pirot vs Paracin
4:0
Mar 8, 2025 Srpska Liga - East
Paracin vs Radnicki Pirot
1:3
Aug 11, 2024 Srpska Liga - East
Radnicki Pirot vs Paracin
1:1
Apr 20, 2024 Srpska Liga - East
Radnicki Pirot vs Paracin
4:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paracin 21 / 100
Radnicki Pirot 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paracin Radnicki Pirot

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Radnicki Pirot Win (2)
Secondary Pick Radnicki Pirot & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +61.5%
7.69
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.69
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Paracin attacking → ← attacking Radnicki Pirot

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paracin scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Radnicki Pirot let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Paracin went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Radnicki Pirot lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

19 Points in last 5 45
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
2.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25