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Paradiso vs Basel II

Switzerland Switzerland

Promotion League 2025/2026
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Match Events

20' Event
Senaya E.
34' Event
D'Agostino G.
40' Event
Kurtishi M.

AI Match Summary

The Promotion League 2025/2026 game between Paradiso and Basel II finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Basel II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Paradiso
15%
Draws
39%
Basel II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paradiso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Basel II carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Paradiso's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Paradiso Clean Sheet 13%
Basel II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paradiso Basel II
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 15
Draws 8 3
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.46 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Promotion League
Paradiso vs Basel II
2:3
Aug 30, 2025 Promotion League
Basel II vs Paradiso
5:0
Mar 22, 2025 Promotion League
Basel II vs Paradiso
0:3
Sep 18, 2024 Promotion League
Paradiso vs Basel II
1:3
Mar 23, 2024 Promotion League
Paradiso vs Basel II
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paradiso Compare

Top Goalscorer D'Agostino G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Benacquista L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Basel II Compare

Top Goalscorer Senaya E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kurtishi M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paradiso 66 / 100
Basel II 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paradiso Basel II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paradiso Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Paradiso scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Basel II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Paradiso went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Paradiso VS Basel II
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Paradiso

(Home)
29 Aug
Grand-Saconnex
2 : 5
Paradiso
22 Aug
Paradiso
1 : 1
FC Kreuzlingen
15 Aug
Paradiso
1 : 2
Breitenrain
08 Aug
Cham
0 : 2
Paradiso
02 Aug
Paradiso
1 : 2
Schaffhausen
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Basel II

(Away)
29 Aug
Young Fellows Juventus
2 : 3
Basel II
22 Aug
Basel II
2 : 3
Zurich II
18 Aug
Bellinzona
2 : 3
Basel II
08 Aug
Basel II
1 : 2
Grand-Saconnex
01 Aug
FC Kreuzlingen
3 : 1
Basel II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kriens 34 25 4 5 100:43 79
2 Bruhl SG 34 22 6 6 87:46 72
3 Biel 34 19 7 8 78:46 64
4 Basel II 34 17 8 9 65:48 59
5 Bavois 34 17 4 13 64:53 55
6 Young Boys II 34 15 9 10 66:52 54
7 Schaffhausen 34 16 5 13 51:46 53
8 Bulle 34 15 6 13 70:64 51
9 Cham 34 14 8 12 62:61 50
10 Grand-Saconnex 34 11 10 13 71:69 43
11 Zurich II 34 11 8 15 59:62 41
12 Breitenrain 34 11 8 15 47:51 41
13 Luzern II 34 10 10 14 80:83 40
14 FC Kreuzlingen 34 8 13 13 43:66 37
15 Lugano II 34 8 12 14 45:75 36
16 Paradiso 34 8 11 15 51:65 35
17 Lausanne II 34 9 4 21 60:84 31
18 Vevey 34 1 5 28 28:113 2
Promotion - Challenge League (Main)