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Paragominas vs Parauapebas Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Paraense 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Paraense 2016 game between Paragominas and Parauapebas finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Parauapebas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Paragominas
30%
Draws
37%
Parauapebas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Parauapebas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Parauapebas haven't matched Paragominas's recent run of results.
  • Paragominas are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Paragominas Clean Sheet 20%
Parauapebas Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paragominas Parauapebas
Matches Played 32 26
Wins 11 5
Draws 13 9
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.41 0.81
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.15 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2016 Paraense
Paragominas vs Parauapebas
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paragominas 42 / 100
Parauapebas 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paragominas Parauapebas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paragominas's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: Parauapebas conceded in 77% of 26 recent games.

Solid form: Paragominas remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Paragominas VS Parauapebas
1.63 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.67
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 33%
38% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Paragominas

(Home)
13 Jun
Urumajo
1 : 0
Paragominas
07 Jun
Paragominas
2 : 2
Urumajo
03 Jun
Caete
0 : 2
Paragominas
30 May
Paragominas
2 : 0
Caete
17 May
Urumajo
1 : 0
Paragominas
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Parauapebas

(Away)
27 Sept
Parauapebas
2 : 0
Sport Belem
23 Sept
Parauapebas
0 : 0
Altamira
16 Sept
Gaviao
2 : 2
Parauapebas
13 Sept
Altamira
1 : 2
Parauapebas
05 Sept
Parauapebas
0 : 1
Gaviao
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Francisco 5 2 2 1 6:4 8
2 Cameta 5 2 0 3 5:5 6
3 Parauapebas 5 1 2 2 3:5 5
4 Remo 5 0 4 1 4:5 4
5 Aguia De Maraba 5 0 2 3 3:10 2
Promotion - Campeonato Paraense 2016 (Second stage - Play Offs)
Promotion - Campeonato Paraense 2016 (Second stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Raimundo PA 5 3 1 1 8:5 10
2 Paragominas 5 3 1 1 7:4 10
3 Paysandu PA 5 1 4 0 5:4 7
4 Marajo 5 2 1 2 4:5 7
5 Independente 5 1 3 1 5:3 6
Promotion - Campeonato Paraense 2016 (Second stage - Play Offs)
Promotion - Campeonato Paraense 2016 (Second stage - Play Offs)