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Paragominas vs Santos PA - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paraense B1 2024
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AI Match Summary

The Paraense B1 2024 game between Paragominas and Santos PA finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paragominas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Paragominas
30%
Draws
29%
Santos PA
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Paragominas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Paragominas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Paragominas are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Paraense B1 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Paragominas Clean Sheet 20%
Santos PA Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paragominas Santos PA
Matches Played 30 21
Wins 11 5
Draws 12 6
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.47 1
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2024 Paraense A2
Paragominas vs Santos PA
4:0
Sep 14, 2024 Paraense A2
Santos PA vs Paragominas
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paragominas 85 / 100
Santos PA 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paragominas Santos PA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paragominas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paragominas's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Santos PA's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 21 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Paragominas went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Paragominas VS Santos PA
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Paragominas

(Home)
13 Jun
Urumajo
1 : 0
Paragominas
07 Jun
Paragominas
2 : 2
Urumajo
03 Jun
Caete
0 : 2
Paragominas
30 May
Paragominas
2 : 0
Caete
17 May
Urumajo
1 : 0
Paragominas
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Santos PA

(Away)
03 Jun
Urumajo
3 : 0
Santos PA
30 May
Santos PA
0 : 1
Urumajo
23 May
Canaa
0 : 0
Santos PA
19 May
Santos PA
3 : 1
Caete
09 May
Santos PA
2 : 2
Canaa
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paragominas 6 3 2 1 11:4 11
2 Capitao Poco 6 3 1 2 6:5 10
3 Pinheirense 6 2 3 1 6:6 9
4 Santos PA 6 0 2 4 1:9 2
Promotion - Paraense B1 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Izabelense 6 3 3 0 9:2 12
2 Amazonia IFC 6 2 2 2 5:4 8
3 Fonte Nova 6 1 3 2 5:10 6
4 Uniao Paraense 6 0 4 2 3:6 4
Promotion - Paraense B1 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Raimundo PA 4 3 1 0 10:1 10
2 ESMAC 4 1 2 1 4:6 5
3 CA Vila Rica 4 0 1 3 2:9 1
Promotion - Paraense B1 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independente 4 2 0 2 5:6 6
2 Carajas 4 1 2 1 7:6 5
3 Itupiranga 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
Promotion - Paraense B1 2024 (Play Offs)