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Paragominas vs Urumajo Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Paraense A2
Paragominas Logo

Paragominas

3 - 1
FT
Urumajo Logo

Urumajo

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Paraense A2 game between Paragominas and Urumajo finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paragominas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Paragominas
20%
Draws
52%
Urumajo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Urumajo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Urumajo haven't matched Paragominas's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Urumajo a 52% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Paragominas Clean Sheet 20%
Urumajo Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paragominas Urumajo
Matches Played 31 17
Wins 11 10
Draws 13 4
Losses 7 3
Goals Scored 1.45 1.53
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 Paraense A2
Urumajo vs Paragominas
1:0
Jun 7, 2026 Paraense A2
Paragominas vs Urumajo
2:2
May 17, 2026 Paraense A2
Urumajo vs Paragominas
1:0
May 3, 2026 Paraense A2
Paragominas vs Urumajo
3:1
Jun 29, 2025 Paraense A2
Urumajo vs Paragominas
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paragominas 28 / 100
Urumajo 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paragominas Urumajo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Urumajo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Paragominas scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Paragominas went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Urumajo let in goals in 41% of their last 17 matches.

Scoring Trends

Paragominas VS Urumajo
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Paragominas

(Home)
13 Jun
Urumajo
1 : 0
Paragominas
07 Jun
Paragominas
2 : 2
Urumajo
03 Jun
Caete
0 : 2
Paragominas
30 May
Paragominas
2 : 0
Caete
17 May
Urumajo
1 : 0
Paragominas
Page 1 of 7

Urumajo

(Away)
27 Jun
Urumajo
2 : 1
Izabelense
13 Jun
Urumajo
1 : 0
Paragominas
07 Jun
Paragominas
2 : 2
Urumajo
03 Jun
Urumajo
3 : 0
Santos PA
30 May
Santos PA
0 : 1
Urumajo
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Caete 4 1 2 1 6:5 5
2 Santos PA 4 1 2 1 5:6 5
3 Canaa 4 0 4 0 4:4 4
Promotion - Paraense A2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Urumajo 4 3 0 1 7:4 9
2 Paragominas 4 2 1 1 9:3 7
3 Marajo 4 0 1 3 2:11 1
Promotion - Paraense A2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independente 4 3 1 0 8:3 10
2 Izabelense 4 1 1 2 6:7 4
3 Uniao Paraense 4 0 2 2 4:8 2
Promotion - Paraense A2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carajas 4 1 3 0 3:1 6
2 Itupiranga 4 1 2 1 5:3 5
3 Atletico Paraense 4 1 1 2 2:6 4
Promotion - Paraense A2 (Play Offs)