Sport Picks

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Paraguari AC vs Sportivo Carapegua

Paraguay Paraguay

Division Intermedia
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Paraguari AC play Sportivo Carapegua in the Division Intermedia. It looks like a close match. Recently, Paraguari AC averaged 0.75 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. Sportivo Carapegua averaged 1 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. In past meetings, Paraguari AC won 1, Sportivo Carapegua won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 17, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Paraguari AC and 1.19 for Sportivo Carapegua. This points to a Paraguari AC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Paraguari AC
28%
Draws
22%
Sportivo Carapegua
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Paraguari AC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Sportivo Carapegua has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Paraguari AC.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Paraguari AC.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Division Intermedia provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Paraguari AC Clean Sheet 68%
Sportivo Carapegua Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paraguari AC Sportivo Carapegua
Matches Played 14 29
Wins 2 6
Draws 4 9
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 0.75 1
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Division Intermedia
Paraguari AC vs Sportivo Carapegua
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paraguari AC Compare

Top Goalscorer Escobar R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Sportivo Carapegua Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paraguari AC 59 / 100
Sportivo Carapegua 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paraguari AC Sportivo Carapegua

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paraguari AC scored in 57% of their last 14 games.

Sportivo Carapegua let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Paraguari AC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Sportivo Carapegua lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Paraguari AC VS Sportivo Carapegua
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Benjamin Aceval1383223:1227
2General Caballero JLM1483330:2027
312 de Junio1383220:1127
4Deportivo Santani1473418:1124
5Deportivo Capiata1356220:1521
6Sol de America1356216:1121
7Guairena FC1363416:1621
8Independiente FBC1354419:1719
9Atletico Tembetary1353520:1918
10Resistencia1446416:1818
11Sportivo Carapegua1444616:2616
12Fernando de la Mora1443715:2215
13Tacuary1326517:2112
14Paraguari AC1424812:1810
15Encarnacion FC14221013:228
163 de Noviembre1407712:247