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Paraguay U16 W vs Uganda U16 W

World World

Friendly International Women 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Paraguay U16 W play Uganda U16 W in the Friendly International Women 2024. Paraguay U16 W are favorites here. Recently, Paraguay U16 W averaged 2.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded. Uganda U16 W averaged 1 goals scored and 3.5 conceded. In past meetings, Paraguay U16 W won 1, Uganda U16 W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 11, 2024 ended 7:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.00 for Paraguay U16 W and 0.75 for Uganda U16 W. This points to a Paraguay U16 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Paraguay U16 W
15%
Draws
16%
Uganda U16 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paraguay U16 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Paraguay U16 W picked up more points recently compared to Uganda U16 W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.00 vs 0.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33%
Paraguay U16 W Clean Sheet 27%
Uganda U16 W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 60%
Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paraguay U16 W Uganda U16 W
Matches Played 4 4
Wins 3 1
Draws 0 0
Losses 1 3
Goals Scored 2.5 1
Goals Conceded 0.5 3.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 3.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2024 Friendly International Women
Paraguay U16 W vs Uganda U16 W
7:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paraguay U16 W 68 / 100
Uganda U16 W 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paraguay U16 W Uganda U16 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paraguay U16 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Paraguay U16 W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.2%
1.64
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.64
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Paraguay U16 W attacking → ← attacking Uganda U16 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paraguay U16 W scored in 75% of their last 4 games.

Uganda U16 W let in goals in 100% of their last 4 matches.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Paraguay U16 W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Uganda U16 W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

9 Points in last 5 3
2.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.50