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Paraguay U17 vs Chile U17

World World

Friendly International 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

64' Event
Ledesma A.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2025 game between Paraguay U17 and Chile U17 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paraguay U17.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Paraguay U17
15%
Draws
76%
Chile U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chile U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chile U17 come out ahead of Paraguay U17 on wins alone.
  • 76% — that's where the model lands on Chile U17 taking it.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Paraguay U17 Clean Sheet 20%
Chile U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paraguay U17 Chile U17
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 6 4
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.13 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2026 South American Championship U17
Chile U17 vs Paraguay U17
1:0
Jun 28, 2025 Friendly International
Paraguay U17 vs Chile U17
1:0
Apr 6, 2025 South American Championship U17
Paraguay U17 vs Chile U17
0:1
Apr 23, 2023 South American Championship U17
Paraguay U17 vs Chile U17
1:0
Apr 14, 2019 South American Championship U17
Chile U17 vs Paraguay U17
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paraguay U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ledesma A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Chile U17 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paraguay U17 16 / 100
Chile U17 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paraguay U17 Chile U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chile U17 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chile U17's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Paraguay U17's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 0.80 goals per match.

Paraguay U17 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Paraguay U17 VS Chile U17
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Paraguay U17

(Home)
12 Apr
Paraguay U17
0 : 2
Colombia U17
09 Apr
Chile U17
1 : 0
Paraguay U17
05 Apr
Uruguay U17
1 : 1
Paraguay U17
03 Apr
Paraguay U17
1 : 2
Ecuador U17
14 Nov
Brazil U17
1 : 0
Paraguay U17
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Chile U17

(Away)
18 Apr
Uruguay U17
2 : 3
Chile U17
16 Apr
Bolivia U17
0 : 4
Chile U17
12 Apr
Chile U17
1 : 3
Ecuador U17
09 Apr
Chile U17
1 : 0
Paraguay U17
07 Apr
Colombia U17
1 : 0
Chile U17
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