Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Paraguay U17 W vs Japan U17 W

World World

World Cup Women U17 2025 Mohammed VI Football Academy (pitch 3), Salé
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Caceres F.
46'
Sub
Figueredo E. In: Gonzalez F.
Out: Figueredo E.
60'
Sub
Aquino F. In: Florentin K.
Out: Aquino F.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Paraguay U17 W
6%
Draws
90%
Japan U17 W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Japan U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Japan U17 W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Japan U17 W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Japan U17 W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Japan U17 W, who have won 3 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Japan U17 W have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Paraguay U17 W Clean Sheet 10%
Japan U17 W Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paraguay U17 W Japan U17 W
Matches Played 37 33
Wins 17 21
Draws 11 4
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 0.86 3.63
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.86 3.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.43 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2025 World Cup Women U17
Paraguay U17 W vs Japan U17 W
1:1
Oct 4, 2016 World Cup Women U17
Paraguay U17 W vs Japan U17 W
0:5
Mar 20, 2014 World Cup Women U17
Paraguay U17 W vs Japan U17 W
0:10
Nov 5, 2008 World Cup Women U17
Paraguay U17 W vs Japan U17 W
2:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paraguay U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bareiro A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.66
Avg xA / game 0.43

Japan U17 W Compare

Avg xG / game 3.3
Avg xA / game 2.02

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paraguay U17 W 10 / 100
Japan U17 W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paraguay U17 W Japan U17 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JPN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paraguay U17 W found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (37 games).

Historical meetings average 6.50 goals per match.

Japan U17 W has conceded goals in 52% of their last 33 outings.

Recent resilience: Paraguay U17 W stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Paraguay U17 W VS Japan U17 W
0.86 Goals Scored 3.63
1.43 Goals Conceded 1.13
71% Over 1.5 88%
29% Over 2.5 75%
14% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Paraguay U17 W

(Home)
03 May
Paraguay U17 W
0 : 3
Colombia U17 W
30 Apr
Chile U17 W
2 : 0
Paraguay U17 W
26 Apr
Bolivia U17 W
0 : 1
Paraguay U17 W
24 Apr
Paraguay U17 W
0 : 2
Argentina U17 W
29 Oct
Mexico U17 W
1 : 0
Paraguay U17 W
Page 1 of 8

Japan U17 W

(Away)
06 Jul
Japan U17 W
2 : 1
USA U17 W
03 Jul
Japan U17 W
5 : 3
USA U17 W
17 May
North Korea U17 W
5 : 1
Japan U17 W
14 May
Japan U17 W
4 : 0
Australia U17 W
11 May
Japan U17 W
1 : 0
South Korea U17 W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Italy U17 W330010:49
2Brazil U17 W31117:54
3Morocco U17 W31024:73
4Costa Rica U17 W30122:71
Promotion - World Cup Women U17 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1North Korea U17 W33009:19
2Mexico U17 W32012:26
3Netherlands U17 W31024:93
4Cameroon U17 W30034:70
Promotion - World Cup Women U17 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1USA U17 W330013:29
2China U17 W320111:56
3Ecuador U17 W31022:73
4Norway U17 W30030:120
Promotion - World Cup Women U17 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Canada U17 W330012:29
2France U17 W32016:46
3Nigeria U17 W31025:53
4Samoa U17 W30032:140
Promotion - World Cup Women U17 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Spain U17 W330012:09
2Colombia U17 W32014:46
3South Korea U17 W30121:71
4Ivory Coast U17 W30121:71
Promotion - World Cup Women U17 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Japan U17 W32106:17
2Paraguay U17 W32107:37
3Zambia U17 W31025:43
4New Zealand U17 W30031:110
Promotion - World Cup Women U17 2025 (Play Offs)