Sport Picks

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Paraguay U17 W vs New Zealand U17 W

World World

World Cup Women U17 2025 Mohammed VI Football Academy (pitch 3)
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Pugh K.
Assist: Vlok P.
47' Event
Martinez Ovando C.
54' Event
Martinez Ovando C.
Assist: Pintos J.

AI Match Summary

Paraguay U17 W in this World Cup Women U17 2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paraguay U17 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Paraguay U17 W
6%
Draws
4%
New Zealand U17 W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Paraguay U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Paraguay U17 W lately — more wins on the board than New Zealand U17 W.
  • Paraguay U17 W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal World Cup Women U17 2025 game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Paraguay U17 W Clean Sheet 20%
New Zealand U17 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paraguay U17 W New Zealand U17 W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 10
Draws 9 3
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 2.5 0.33
Goals Conceded 1.13 3.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 0.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 3.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 22, 2025 World Cup Women U17
Paraguay U17 W vs New Zealand U17 W
4:1
Mar 16, 2014 World Cup Women U17
New Zealand U17 W vs Paraguay U17 W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paraguay U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez Ovando C.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Florentin K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

New Zealand U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Pugh K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.3
Avg xA / game 0.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paraguay U17 W 85 / 100
New Zealand U17 W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paraguay U17 W New Zealand U17 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Paraguay U17 W scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

New Zealand U17 W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

New Zealand U17 W's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Paraguay U17 W VS New Zealand U17 W
2.5 Goals Scored 0.33
1.13 Goals Conceded 3.67
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 67%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Italy U17 W330010:49
2Brazil U17 W31117:54
3Morocco U17 W31024:73
4Costa Rica U17 W30122:71
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1North Korea U17 W33009:19
2Mexico U17 W32012:26
3Netherlands U17 W31024:93
4Cameroon U17 W30034:70
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1USA U17 W330013:29
2China U17 W320111:56
3Ecuador U17 W31022:73
4Norway U17 W30030:120
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Canada U17 W330012:29
2France U17 W32016:46
3Nigeria U17 W31025:53
4Samoa U17 W30032:140
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Spain U17 W330012:09
2Colombia U17 W32014:46
3South Korea U17 W30121:71
4Ivory Coast U17 W30121:71
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Japan U17 W32106:17
2Paraguay U17 W32107:37
3Zambia U17 W31025:43
4New Zealand U17 W30031:110