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Paraguay U20 vs Ecuador U20

World World

Friendly International 2024 Estadio Municipal Nicolás Chahuán, La Calera
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Bermudez M.
42'
Sub
Marcelino J. In: Maqueda C.
Out: Marcelino J.
45'
Sub
Gonzalez P. In: Gonzalez Gonzalez E. D.
Out: Gonzalez P.

AI Match Summary

Ecuador U20 in this Friendly International 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ecuador U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Paraguay U20
20%
Draws
36%
Ecuador U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Paraguay U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Paraguay U20 lately — more wins on the board than Ecuador U20.
  • Model gives Paraguay U20 a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Friendly International 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Paraguay U20 Clean Sheet 16%
Ecuador U20 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paraguay U20 Ecuador U20
Matches Played 28 25
Wins 10 7
Draws 5 6
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.18 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 19, 2024 Friendly International
Paraguay U20 vs Ecuador U20
0:1
Feb 12, 2023 South American Championship U20
Ecuador U20 vs Paraguay U20
2:1
Oct 12, 2022 South American Games U19
Ecuador U20 vs Paraguay U20
0:1
Jun 12, 2022 Friendly International
Ecuador U20 vs Paraguay U20
2:4
Jan 18, 2019 South American Championship U20
Ecuador U20 vs Paraguay U20
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paraguay U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Ecuador U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bermudez M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paraguay U20 36 / 100
Ecuador U20 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paraguay U20 Ecuador U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paraguay U20 found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Ecuador U20 let in goals in 76% of their last 25 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Paraguay U20 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Paraguay U20 VS Ecuador U20
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Paraguay U20

(Home)
27 Aug
Uruguay U20
2 : 3
Paraguay U20
25 Aug
Uruguay U20
0 : 2
Paraguay U20
31 Mar
Brazil U20
3 : 1
Paraguay U20
28 Mar
Brazil U20
3 : 1
Paraguay U20
08 Oct
Paraguay U20
0 : 1
Norway U20
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Ecuador U20

(Away)
01 Feb
Ecuador U20
0 : 0
Argentina U20
30 Jan
Ecuador U20
2 : 3
Brazil U20
28 Jan
Colombia U20
1 : 0
Ecuador U20
24 Jan
Bolivia U20
1 : 2
Ecuador U20
20 Dec
Peru U20
2 : 2
Ecuador U20
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