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Paraguay U20 vs Venezuela U20 Prediction & H2H Stats

South America South America

South American Championship U20 Estadio Metropolitano de Cabudare, Barquisimeto
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Romero L.
43' Event
Alfonso O.
46'
Sub
Romero L. In: Rodriguez L.
Out: Romero L.

AI Match Summary

The South American Championship U20 game between Paraguay U20 and Venezuela U20 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paraguay U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Paraguay U20
15%
Draws
28%
Venezuela U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paraguay U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Paraguay U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Paraguay U20's way, sitting at 42%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this South American Championship U20 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Paraguay U20 Clean Sheet 19%
Venezuela U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paraguay U20 Venezuela U20
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 13 5
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.43 0.85
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2025 South American Championship U20
Venezuela U20 vs Paraguay U20
0:0
Jan 29, 2025 South American Championship U20
Paraguay U20 vs Venezuela U20
1:0
Oct 16, 2024 Friendly International
Paraguay U20 vs Venezuela U20
1:1
Oct 14, 2024 Friendly International
Paraguay U20 vs Venezuela U20
3:0
Jan 31, 2023 South American Championship U20
Paraguay U20 vs Venezuela U20
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paraguay U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Alfonso O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Venezuela U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paraguay U20 42 / 100
Venezuela U20 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paraguay U20 Venezuela U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paraguay U20 scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Venezuela U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 26 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Venezuela U20's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Paraguay U20 VS Venezuela U20
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.57
88% Over 1.5 71%
50% Over 2.5 57%
25% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Paraguay U20

(Home)
27 Aug
Uruguay U20
2 : 3
Paraguay U20
25 Aug
Uruguay U20
0 : 2
Paraguay U20
31 Mar
Brazil U20
3 : 1
Paraguay U20
28 Mar
Brazil U20
3 : 1
Paraguay U20
08 Oct
Paraguay U20
0 : 1
Norway U20
Page 1 of 6

Venezuela U20

(Away)
11 Jun
Venezuela U20
0 : 1
Japan U20
08 Jun
Venezuela U20
1 : 3
Portugal U20
03 Jun
Ivory Coast U20
3 : 1
Venezuela U20
01 Jun
Venezuela U20
0 : 2
Canada U20
27 Jul
Venezuela U20
2 : 1
Chile U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uruguay U20 4 3 0 1 10:2 9
2 Paraguay U20 4 3 0 1 5:8 9
3 Chile U20 4 2 0 2 7:7 6
4 Venezuela U20 4 2 0 2 6:3 6
5 Peru U20 4 0 0 4 3:11 0
Promotion - South American Championship U20 (Final Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colombia U20 4 3 1 0 6:3 10
2 Argentina U20 4 2 2 0 8:1 8
3 Brazil U20 4 2 0 2 5:10 6
4 Ecuador U20 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
5 Bolivia U20 4 0 0 4 4:8 0
Promotion - South American Championship U20 (Final Group)