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Paraguay U20 W vs Colombia U20 W

South America South America

South American Championship Women U20 Estadio Carfem
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Villalba P.
90' Event
Diaz I.

AI Match Summary

Paraguay U20 W host Colombia U20 W in the South American Championship Women U20. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Recent numbers: Paraguay U20 W at 1.5 goals for, 0.88 against; Colombia U20 W at 0.5 for, 0.5 against. Past meetings favor Colombia U20 W slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 23, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 0.69) point toward Colombia U20 W. Under markets carry more value than backing a winner outright.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Paraguay U20 W
28%
Draws
50%
Colombia U20 W
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Colombia U20 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Colombia U20 W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Paraguay U20 W.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Colombia U20 W.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in South American Championship Women U20 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Paraguay U20 W Clean Sheet 28%
Colombia U20 W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paraguay U20 W Colombia U20 W
Matches Played 36 38
Wins 16 23
Draws 7 7
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.5 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2026 South American Championship Women U20
Paraguay U20 W vs Colombia U20 W
1:1
Feb 12, 2026 South American Championship Women U20
Paraguay U20 W vs Colombia U20 W
0:0
May 5, 2024 South American Championship Women U20
Paraguay U20 W vs Colombia U20 W
1:1
Oct 11, 2022 South American Games Women U20
Colombia U20 W vs Paraguay U20 W
1:0
Jun 28, 2022 Friendly International Women
Colombia U20 W vs Paraguay U20 W
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paraguay U20 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Villalba P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Colombia U20 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paraguay U20 W 25 / 100
Colombia U20 W 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paraguay U20 W Colombia U20 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paraguay U20 W scored in 64% of their last 36 games.

Colombia U20 W let in goals in 45% of their last 38 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Paraguay U20 W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Colombia U20 W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Paraguay U20 W VS Colombia U20 W
1.5 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%