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Paraguay U23 vs Dominican Republic U23 Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Friendly International 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Gomez M.
15'
Nunez R.
18' Event
Lemaire N.

AI Match Summary

Dominican Republic U23 in this Friendly International 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dominican Republic U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Paraguay U23
15%
Draws
64%
Dominican Republic U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dominican Republic U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Paraguay U23 have won more games recently than Dominican Republic U23.
  • Model gives Paraguay U23 a 21% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Paraguay U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Dominican Republic U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paraguay U23 Dominican Republic U23
Matches Played 31 16
Wins 14 3
Draws 5 1
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.55 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.52 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.40 1.15
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2024 Friendly International
Paraguay U23 vs Dominican Republic U23
1:2
Mar 23, 2024 Friendly International
Paraguay U23 vs Dominican Republic U23
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paraguay U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.85
Avg xA / game 1.2

Dominican Republic U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lemaire N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Urena O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.05
Avg xA / game 0.64

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paraguay U23 68 / 100
Dominican Republic U23 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paraguay U23 Dominican Republic U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paraguay U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paraguay U23 scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Dominican Republic U23 has conceded goals in 81% of their last 16 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Difficult form: Dominican Republic U23 registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Paraguay U23 VS Dominican Republic U23
1.63 Goals Scored 0.67
1.63 Goals Conceded 3.17
63% Over 1.5 83%
50% Over 2.5 67%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Paraguay U23

(Home)
18 Jul
Ukraine U23
2 : 2
Paraguay U23
13 Jul
USA U23
1 : 0
Paraguay U23
04 Jul
France U23
4 : 1
Paraguay U23
10 Jun
Argentina U23
2 : 0
Paraguay U23
08 Jun
Argentina U23
4 : 0
Paraguay U23
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Dominican Republic U23

(Away)
20 Feb
Dominican Republic U23
0 : 1
Las Vegas Lights
11 Jul
France U23
7 : 0
Dominican Republic U23
26 Mar
Paraguay U23
1 : 2
Dominican Republic U23
23 Mar
Paraguay U23
2 : 0
Dominican Republic U23
13 Jan
Colombia U23
5 : 0
Dominican Republic U23
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