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Paraguay U23 vs Peru U23 Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Olympic Games
Paraguay U23 Logo

Paraguay U23

1 - 0
FT
Peru U23 Logo

Peru U23

Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Fernandez M.
Assist: Perez M.
30'
Nunez A.
36'
Sub
Villacorta A. In: Posito Olazabal A. J.
Out: Villacorta A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Paraguay U23 in this Olympic Games matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paraguay U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Paraguay U23
20%
Draws
64%
Peru U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Peru U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Paraguay U23 have won more games recently than Peru U23.
  • Model gives Peru U23 a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 61.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Paraguay U23 Clean Sheet 23%
Peru U23 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paraguay U23 Peru U23
Matches Played 31 20
Wins 14 5
Draws 5 3
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.55 0.85
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.51 1.01
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 27, 2024 Olympic Games
Paraguay U23 vs Peru U23
1:0
Jan 26, 2020 Olympic Games
Paraguay U23 vs Peru U23
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paraguay U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.16
Avg xA / game 0.76

Peru U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paraguay U23 10 / 100
Peru U23 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paraguay U23 Peru U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Peru U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Paraguay U23 scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Peru U23 let in goals in 85% of their last 20 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Peru U23's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Paraguay U23 VS Peru U23
1.63 Goals Scored 0.4
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.4
63% Over 1.5 60%
50% Over 2.5 20%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Paraguay U23

(Home)
18 Jul
Ukraine U23
2 : 2
Paraguay U23
13 Jul
USA U23
1 : 0
Paraguay U23
04 Jul
France U23
4 : 1
Paraguay U23
10 Jun
Argentina U23
2 : 0
Paraguay U23
08 Jun
Argentina U23
4 : 0
Paraguay U23
Page 1 of 7

Peru U23

(Away)
30 Jan
Uruguay U23
3 : 0
Peru U23
27 Jan
Paraguay U23
1 : 0
Peru U23
24 Jan
Peru U23
0 : 2
Argentina U23
21 Jan
Peru U23
1 : 0
Chile U23
22 Dec
Peru U23
1 : 1
Bolivia U23
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brazil U23 4 3 0 1 6:4 9
2 Venezuela U23 4 2 2 0 8:5 8
3 Ecuador U23 4 2 1 1 7:3 7
4 Bolivia U23 4 1 1 2 5:6 4
5 Colombia U23 4 0 0 4 0:8 0
Promotion - Olympic Games (Final Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentina U23 4 2 2 0 11:4 8
2 Paraguay U23 4 2 1 1 7:6 7
3 Chile U23 4 2 0 2 3:7 6
4 Uruguay U23 4 1 1 2 9:8 4
5 Peru U23 4 1 0 3 1:6 3
Promotion - Olympic Games (Final Group)