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Paraguay W vs Chile W Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Friendly International Women Estadio Carfem, Ypané
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Chamorro Gomez L. F. In: Tamay M.
Out: Chamorro Gomez L. F.
46'
Sub
Barreto L. In: Rolon M.
Out: Barreto L.
46'
Sub
Cartaman E. In: Riveros A.
Out: Cartaman E.

AI Match Summary

Chile W in this Friendly International Women matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chile W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Paraguay W
15%
Draws
39%
Chile W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paraguay W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Chile W have won more games recently than Paraguay W.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Paraguay W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Chile W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Paraguay W Clean Sheet 68%
Chile W Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paraguay W Chile W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 15
Draws 2 3
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 1.33 1.7
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Friendly International Women
Paraguay W vs Chile W
0:1
Mar 4, 2026 Friendly International Women
Paraguay W vs Chile W
0:1
Dec 2, 2025 CONMEBOL Nations League Women
Chile W vs Paraguay W
1:0
Jul 28, 2025 Copa América Women
Chile W vs Paraguay W
0:1
Jul 15, 2024 Friendly International Women
Paraguay W vs Chile W
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paraguay W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Chile W Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreno A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paraguay W 95 / 100
Chile W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paraguay W Chile W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paraguay W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paraguay W found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Chile W has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Paraguay W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Paraguay W VS Chile W
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Paraguay W

(Home)
12 Jul
Penarol W
1 : 2
Paraguay W
09 Jul
Palmeiras W
3 : 0
Paraguay W
09 Jun
Paraguay W
3 : 4
Colombia W
05 Jun
Bolivia W
0 : 8
Paraguay W
14 Apr
Peru W
1 : 1
Paraguay W
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Chile W

(Away)
05 Jun
Chile W
1 : 2
Ecuador W
18 Apr
Uruguay W
1 : 3
Chile W
15 Apr
Colombia W
2 : 0
Chile W
11 Apr
Chile W
0 : 1
Argentina W
07 Mar
Paraguay W
0 : 1
Chile W
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