Sport Picks

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Paraguay W vs Venezuela W

South America South America

CONMEBOL Nations League Women Estadio Tigo La Huerta
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Carrasco R.
Assist: Garcia G.
37' Event
Chamorro Gomez L. F.
Assist: Arrieta C.
39'
Arrieta C.

AI Match Summary

Paraguay W host Venezuela W in the CONMEBOL Nations League Women. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Venezuela W have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Paraguay W have conceded 1.5 and scored 0.63. Head-to-head, Paraguay W have won 2 to Venezuela W's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Oct 28, 2025, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 0.81 vs 2.13, favoring Venezuela W. Venezuela W in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Paraguay W
30%
Draws
34%
Venezuela W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Paraguay W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Venezuela W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Paraguay W.
  • Model forecasts a 36% win probability edge for Paraguay W.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in CONMEBOL Nations League Women provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Paraguay W Clean Sheet 10%
Venezuela W Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paraguay W Venezuela W
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 9 12
Draws 2 6
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 0.63 2.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2025 CONMEBOL Nations League Women
Paraguay W vs Venezuela W
1:2
Jul 26, 2025 Copa América Women
Paraguay W vs Venezuela W
2:1
Oct 8, 2019 Friendly International Women
Venezuela W vs Paraguay W
1:0
Oct 4, 2019 Friendly International Women
Venezuela W vs Paraguay W
1:1
Nov 7, 2010 Copa América Women
Venezuela W vs Paraguay W
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paraguay W Compare

Top Goalscorer Chamorro Gomez L. F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Venezuela W Compare

Top Goalscorer Carrasco R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garcia G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paraguay W 34 / 100
Venezuela W 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paraguay W Venezuela W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paraguay W scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Venezuela W let in goals in 59% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Paraguay W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Venezuela W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Paraguay W VS Venezuela W
0.63 Goals Scored 2.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Colombia W862016:720
2Argentina W853018:518
3Venezuela W833219:612
4Ecuador W83238:611
5Peru W832312:1511
6Paraguay W831417:1110
7Chile W831411:910
8Uruguay W81347:116
9Bolivia W80172:401