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Paraiso EC vs Araguaia (TO)

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Tocantinense 2
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AI Match Summary

The Tocantinense 2 game between Paraiso EC and Araguaia (TO) finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paraiso EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Paraiso EC
6%
Draws
4%
Araguaia (TO)
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Paraiso EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Araguaia (TO) haven't matched Paraiso EC's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Paraiso EC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 28.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Paraiso EC Clean Sheet 14%
Araguaia (TO) Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paraiso EC Araguaia (TO)
Matches Played 32 14
Wins 6 4
Draws 9 3
Losses 17 7
Goals Scored 1.43 1.25
Goals Conceded 2 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.43 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2025 Tocantinense 2
Paraiso EC vs Araguaia (TO)
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paraiso EC 84 / 100
Araguaia (TO) 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paraiso EC Araguaia (TO)

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Araguaia (TO) has conceded goals in 71% of their last 14 outings.

Paraiso EC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Araguaia (TO) has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Paraiso EC VS Araguaia (TO)
1.43 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
86% Over 2.5 50%
57% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Palmas42119:27
2Uniao de Palmas42116:67
3Alvorada41216:55
4Interporto422011:22
5Taquarussu40042:190
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guarai SC440018:212
2Paraiso EC42118:77
3Central Tocantinense42118:71
4Araguaia (TO)41034:10-6
5Tocantins40040:120