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Paraiso EC vs Araguaina

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2015
Paraiso EC Logo

Paraiso EC

2 - 1
FT
Araguaina Logo

Araguaina

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Paraiso EC in this Campeonato Tocantinense 2015 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paraiso EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Paraiso EC
35%
Draws
46%
Araguaina
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Araguaina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Araguaina lately — more wins on the board than Paraiso EC.
  • Araguaina are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato Tocantinense 2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Paraiso EC Clean Sheet 10%
Araguaina Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paraiso EC Araguaina
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 4 16
Draws 7 9
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 0.55 1.85
Goals Conceded 2.14 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2018 Tocantinense
Araguaina vs Paraiso EC
3:0
Apr 21, 2018 Tocantinense
Paraiso EC vs Araguaina
0:3
May 7, 2016 Tocantinense
Paraiso EC vs Araguaina
3:2
Apr 12, 2016 Tocantinense
Araguaina vs Paraiso EC
1:0
May 5, 2015 Tocantinense
Paraiso EC vs Araguaina
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paraiso EC 10 / 100
Araguaina 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paraiso EC Araguaina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Araguaina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Araguaina has conceded goals in 65% of their last 34 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Paraiso EC's goal record stands at 31% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Paraiso EC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Paraiso EC VS Araguaina
0 Goals Scored 1.38
3 Goals Conceded 0.75
67% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 38%
33% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Paraiso EC

(Home)
12 Sept
Paraiso EC
0 : 3
Batalhao
05 Sept
Sao Jose (TO)
6 : 0
Paraiso EC
15 Nov
Paraiso EC
2 : 2
Alvorada
08 Nov
Alvorada
2 : 0
Paraiso EC
02 Nov
Paraiso EC
2 : 2
Central Tocantinense
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Araguaina

(Away)
28 Jun
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
0 : 0
Araguaina
21 Jun
Araguaina
0 : 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
14 Jun
Araguaina
9 : 0
Galvez
30 May
Guapore
3 : 2
Araguaina
24 May
Araguaina
1 : 1
Porto Velho
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tocantinopolis 14 7 5 2 19:12 26
2 Interporto 14 6 5 3 25:23 23
3 Palmas 14 7 1 6 23:17 22
4 Gurupi 14 6 3 5 19:15 21
5 Paraiso EC 14 5 5 4 19:16 20
6 Araguaina 14 5 3 6 18:21 18
7 Tocantins 14 4 2 8 23:33 14
8 Guarai SC 14 3 2 9 20:29 11
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2015 (Play Offs)