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Paraiso EC vs Araguaina

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2015
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AI Match Summary

Paraiso EC in this Campeonato Tocantinense 2015 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paraiso EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Paraiso EC
22%
Draws
60%
Araguaina
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Araguaina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Araguaina lately — more wins on the board than Paraiso EC.
  • Araguaina are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Campeonato Tocantinense 2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Paraiso EC Clean Sheet 20%
Araguaina Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paraiso EC Araguaina
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 13
Draws 8 8
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 0 0.75
Goals Conceded 0 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2018 Tocantinense
Araguaina vs Paraiso EC
3:0
Apr 21, 2018 Tocantinense
Paraiso EC vs Araguaina
0:3
May 7, 2016 Tocantinense
Paraiso EC vs Araguaina
3:2
Apr 12, 2016 Tocantinense
Araguaina vs Paraiso EC
1:0
May 5, 2015 Tocantinense
Paraiso EC vs Araguaina
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paraiso EC 20 / 100
Araguaina 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paraiso EC Araguaina

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Araguaina has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Paraiso EC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Paraiso EC scored in 40% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Araguaina
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tocantinopolis1475219:1226
2Interporto1465325:2323
3Palmas1471623:1722
4Gurupi1463519:1521
5Paraiso EC1455419:1620
6Araguaina1453618:2118
7Tocantins1442823:3314
8Guarai SC1432920:2911